Ian Posted August 15, 2011 Author Share Posted August 15, 2011 Damn it Ian you beat me posting it to CWG huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 918 PM EDT SUN AUG 14 2011 .SYNOPSIS... LOW PRESSURE OVER VIRGINIA WILL GRADUALLY MOVE AWAY FROM THE COAST TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FOR WEDNESDAY...THEN ANOTHER SYSTEM IMPACTS THE REGION FOR THE LATTER PORTIONS OF THE WEEK. && .NEAR TERM /OVERNIGHT/... STILL KEEPING OUR EYES ON THE STORMS XTNDG FM FREDERICK CO MD DOWN INTO CENTRAL VA. ATTM STORMS ARE BLO SVR LIMITS - JUST GOT A CALL FM ASHBURN REPORTING G40 MPH...WHICH CORRESPONDS QUITE WELL TO THE RDR VELOCITY IMAGE. FORWARD MVMNT OF STORMS IS QUITE SLOW - SE ABT 18 KTS. IT MAY BE THAT DC GETS A PD OF HVY RAIN FM 10-11 PM. WITH UPPER LOW ROTATING THROUGH THERE STILL MAY BE LINGERING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 Looks like more building out West...another round later? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 15, 2011 Author Share Posted August 15, 2011 I feel like this has a chance of missing DC itself just to the north. Please give me a reason to believe in this thing. hard to say.. on present course i would think we wouldnt get a lot but it has been redeveloping southeast. i think it's probably a negative we had an outflow boundary push through from the piece to the north and then we'll get another from the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 Heard about a large tree down in MoCo - Route 29 at Prelude Drive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 It almost looks like that line is trying to regenerate. I hope it does for you guys. Hang in there. If you are in Leesburg, I still like your chances. Kudos to me and my radar extrapolation skills. He-he-he Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 huh? I posted the warning to CWG on FB cause they didnt have it up yet... CWG put it up about 15 secs before I did... I thought you were doing CWG duty tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 SSE wind somehow, 10mph range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 Looks like more building out West...another round later? Ask the same earlier. Looks to be getting better organized with each passing frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 15, 2011 Author Share Posted August 15, 2011 SSE wind somehow, 10mph range. plz keep us updated every minute Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
derecho Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 Looking like a blizzard out there now. High winds and rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 The HRRR (not so reliable, I know) didnt have the line here till 7pm... so just wait Close enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 .82 for the day with .78 coming with this nice batch. Better late than never Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 15, 2011 Author Share Posted August 15, 2011 Close enough lol.. next sbos will say his idea of a big svr day south of baltimore was right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 Flash Flood Warning SE Montgomery/North Central PG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 no biggie - just some rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 Rain has let up but still getting a decent light and sound show. The worst of it seemed to move to the South of me and is just sitting there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 heh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0744 PM CDT SUN AUG 14 2011 VALID 150100Z - 151200Z ..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER THE MID ATLANTIC REGION ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM NERN CO/NWRN KS INTO CNTRL SD... ..MID ATLANTIC AMPLE INSTABILITY REMAINS IN PLACE FROM THE ERN CAROLINAS INTO THE DELMARVA AHEAD OF AN ADVANCING COLD FRONT. NUMEROUS STORMS EXISTED ALONG THE FRONT AS OF 01Z. 00Z SOUNDINGS SHOW MODERATELY STRONG MID TO UPPER LEVEL WINDS...BUT WINDS IN THE LOWEST 3KM REMAIN RELATIVELY WEAK AT AROUND 15 KT. WITH THE LOSS OF HEATING...THIS WILL RESULT IN A LESSENING LARGE HAIL THREAT...BUT DAMAGING WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE A THREAT ESPECIALLY WITH CONSOLIDATED STORM CLUSTERS. STORMS ARE LIKELY TO PERSIST INTO THE EVENING GIVEN COOLING AND LIFT WITH THE UPPER TROUGH...AND WITH LITTLE IF ANY CAPPING POTENTIAL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 Yoda with the noob double post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC_WX Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 .82 for the day with .78 coming with this nice batch. Better late than never It rained hard about 5 minutes, the rest of the time it just rained. I think the heavy stuff jumped over me and reformed across the river out towards poolesville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 Yoda with the noob double post i fixed it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 Warning nixed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 That storm Heading down 270 to DC is a nice light show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 Impressive shield over Fairfax County! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 Impressive shield over Fairfax County! It will be here soon... dont worry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 pssh, the usual. Nice lightning show to the North though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 It will be here soon... dont worry I'm holding you responsible if it doesn't work out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 0822 PM TSTM WND DMG POINT OF ROCKS 39.27N 77.54W 08/14/2011 FREDERICK MD NWS EMPLOYEE LARGE TREE DOWN ON ROUTE 15 BLOCKING TRAFFIC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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