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Found 8 results

  1. Latest tropical and hurricane models indicate that landfall in the Carolinas or SNE is possible after the 18z runs, as we await the 18z GFS to finish up. 12z GFS brings 850mb wind near 80-90 knots over Cape Cod at hour 150-156. It is a fast moving storm when it reaches our latitude. So it will be in and out if it indeed hits our region, also heavy rainfall is possible 3-4" inland locations. Stay tuned! and discuss.
  2. Within the next ten to fourteen days the models are pointing towards two tropical cyclones potentially impacting the East Coast of the US. Models differ on development at this time, but there is enough support from the CMC and EURO and GFS to suggest that development is possible southeast of the current 91L disturbance track sometime around Wednesday or Thursday of next week. Stay tuned!
  3. How much snow will fall Tuesday night before changing to a messy mix? Will temperatures torch on Wednesday or stay socked in the 30s before tumbling at night? Here's how the contest will run... Predict the total snowfall from Tuesday, March 3rd, through Wednesday*, March 4th: BDR Stratford/Bridgeport, Sikorsky Airport BDL Windsor Locks, Bradley Int'l Airport PVD Providence, TF Green Airport ORH Worcester, Regional Airport BOS Boston, Logan Airport You are encouraged to report snowfall to the nearest tenth of an inch. AND Predict the high temperature on Wednesday, March 4th for the same stations. Please report temperatures to the nearest whole degree, otherwise the number will be rounded. The temperature scoring is the same as the last, similar contest. Each degree error per station results in one error point. For snowfall, each half inch of snow error per station results in one error point. This means that being one inch off for a station results in two error points. Being off by 0.1 inches results in 0.2 error points. All total error points for temperature and snowfall will be added to determine the winner. In the event of a tie, the contestant who has the closest to zero overall bias score (will factor positive and negative error points for an overall "contest bias" score) will win. See previous contest for more details on the bias score, if it becomes a factor in determining the winner. *For the ease of processing data, the CF6 NWS form will be used. Keep in mind that although this contest is focusing on the "front-end thump" of snow, if any additional snow happens to fall Wednesday night, prior to the end of the climo day, that may factor into the scoring. The deadline for submitting a forecast is 2:00 p.m. on Tuesday, March 3rd. This will give the board time to consider the contest, forecast models and to assess some of the Tuesday 12z data. You can edit a post at any point up until that time, as forecasts will not be tallied until the deadline. Good luck!
  4. Will we torch or get socked into more of an icy/snowy scenario for Sunday? Here's how the contest will run... Predict the high temperature for the following stations on Sunday, February 22nd: BDR Stratford/Bridgeport, Sikorsky Airport BDL Windsor Locks, Bradley Int'l Airport PVD Providence, TF Green Airport ORH Worcester, Regional Airport BOS Boston, Logan Airport Tie-breaker prediction: Highest maximum temperature at any official southern New England ASOS site on Sunday. Please include station name. Scoring is simple. Each degree error results in one error point. In the case of a tie, the user who is closest to the highest maximum temperature in southern New England is the winner. If there is a second tie, the user who has the closest to zero overall bias score (will factor positive and negative error points for an overall "contest bias" score) will win. If there's a third tie, then there can be multiple winners. The deadline for submitting a forecast is 12:00 p.m. (noon) on Thursday, February 19th. This will give the board time to consider the contest, forecast models and to assess some of the Thursday 12z data. You can edit a post at any point up until that time, as forecasts will not be tallied until the deadline. Good luck!
  5. Zeus

    The Ubergrinch

    Twas the night before Christmas, when all through S-N-E Everyone had nearly just died of ennui The weeklies were posted by the hopeful with care, In hopes that a pattern change soon would be there. December departures? Not too bad, once all sorted, Slightly below, somehow, Mount Tolland reported. And 'fella in his ‘kerchief, and I in my cap, Had just walked on home for a scotch-induced nap. When back on the boards there arose such a clatter, I killed my iPhone battery to see what was the matter. Closing other apps, in hopes it won't die, I opened the December thread, immediately regretted it. For here on the eve of the savior's birthday Came soaking rains, from LI to KGAY. When, what to my wondering eyes should appear, But behind it, a pattern change, and cold air draws near? Citing some science I don't understand, Scotty assured us: things going "as planned." More rapid than eagles, upbeat replies came, "Good post, Scott" "+1" "We're back in the game!" With PNA positive, and NAO fixin' To switch up the scheme and bring winter a blitzin' Rain nonetheless continued to fall And slim hopes of backlash seemed pointless to all And then, in a twinkling, I saw on the forum Speculation that things would be white through Purim So on these damn boards I spent the whole day, Ignoring my poor family along the way. A washout still, and howling, outside, It was hard to envision that we'd soon sleighride Meanwhile, jamesnichols, at his absolute worst, Was still holding out for a white 21st. QPF queens and packhounds united In hopes that their dreams would no longer be blighted Still badgering Will since some point in the fall, With "What did the EURO say after all?" "You're not gonna like it," Will said, almost hushed "Your chances for frozen precip can't be rushed." "Behind it," he said, "we're not out of the woods" "But I'm sure," he continued, "it'll soon bring the goods" He was straight to the point, no snow in the near future Some pissed, some moaned, some required a suture But even still, some kept a chin up "Adirondack lodge rentals are not yet booked up!" Tippy sat at his keyboard, with plenty to say, And his fingers, like lightning, they hammered away. But I just gave up; didn't scan very far, Before declaring, "TL;DR!"
  6. Cold Miser

    SNE GTG - Rite of Spring.

    I'm just going to throw the date of April 5th out there to our brains thinking about it. With the exception of a few times, I know that Worcester has been the go to place for the past few years, mainly due to the central location. Let's give serious consideration to other locations if it means getting more folks to show up - Maybe somewhere within the Boston metro, 495 (partial) loop...Hartford, CT... Stamford, CT...Providence, R.I...Springfield, etc...or just stick with Worcester.
  7. HalloweenGale

    When did you realize?

    When did all of you realize that the winter of '89/'90 was going to suck badly? There were two events in November that really kicked off the winter: the Nov. 21st thunder blizzard across Maine and the Turkey Day storm. December was extremely cold, but that ended after the December 28-31st event, where Newport recorded 9" then it switched to rain.
  8. HalloweenGale

    March 6-7th 1989

    I'm plotting out the snowfall totals from this. It looks like it was from a LOW that was centered in E. TN, and a band of precip moved NE of the center, parking over SNE on the 6th. On the 7th, the LOW moved offshore along a stationary front, causing waves of low pressure to move along it. Snow totals (in MA) were: KBOS: T KORH: T KHYA: T KCQX: T E. WAREHAM: 6 PLYMOUTH: 3 HINGHAM: 6 BLUE HILL: 4 WALPOLE: 4 NEWBURYPORT: T Here are some selected windspeeds (numbers in parenthesis indicate obs for the 7th): KACK: NE 25 MPH G 28MPH (NE 28 MPH G 40MPH) KMVY: NE 17 MPH G 23MPH (NE 23 MPH G 35MPH) KHYA: N 11 MPH *NO GUSTS* (NE 16 MPH G 25MPH) KEWB: N 11 MPH *NO GUSTS* (NE 17 MPH G 29MPH) KBOS: NW 25 MPH G 28MPH (NE 25 MPH G 33MPH) If anyone wants to chime in, go ahead.
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