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I'm sure a few of us have been watching a disturbance on the models the past week or so, which has been pretty cluttered with differences in the strength and location of shortwaves, and any phasing as we move into the weekend. Over the past 12-18 hours, the data seems to have started to trend toward a possible impactful event across Iowa, and western Illinois, including the potential advisory, or even warning criteria snow events in spots Saturday night into Sunday. Right now, the GFS, Bamms, RPM are hinting at warning level snows possible in a few stripes, in Iowa, and across the Ohio River, with advisory level snows possible for the QC metro and areas nearby. The latest 12z NAM seems to be trending in that direction as well. The shortwave in question is just now entering the Pacific Northwest currently, so hopefully we will have a much better idea, on if this system will be as wet as possibly being indicated by the GFS and other Hi-res guidance by this afternoon's 12z & tonights 00z runs. Feel free to chime in with your thoughts and opinions. Personally, it would be a nice birthday surprise for me, but I know others are all aboard the spring train! I kinda am, myself, but I do like a fresh coat of white! Lol
Another snowfall season is upon us...and so is another contest. This year we'll be doing the entire season...which officially runs from July 1, 2015 to June 30, 2016. So, obviously it's already started, but whatever. The contest is pretty simple: guess the total season snowfall for each of the following 20 sites in our region/sub-forum. Alpena, MI (APN) Chicago, IL (ORD) Cleveland, OH (CLE) Columbus, OH (CMH) Detroit, MI (DTW) Fort Wayne, IN (FWA) Grand Rapids, MI (GRR) Green Bay, WI (GRB) Indianapolis, IN (IND) La Crosse, WI (LSE) London, ON (YXU) Louisville, KY (SDF) Marquette, MI (MQT) Milwaukee, WI (MKE) Minneapolis, MN (MSP) Moline, IL (MLI) Paducah, KY (PAH) Peoria, IL (PIA) St. Louis, MO (STL) Toronto, ON (YYZ) Tiebreaker #1: December total snowfall at ORD Tiebreaker #2: January total snowfall at IND Tiebreaker #3: February total snowfall at DTW Winner will be the person who has the least total error from actual snowfall. Deadline to enter is November 1, 2015. Good luck to all. A little help maybe, but here's the last 30 years of season snowfall totals for all 20 sites (and the average of those 30 seasons). Nino seasons shaded in red.