1. Southwestern Gulf:
A tropical wave over the northwestern Caribbean Sea is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms extending across eastern
Honduras, northeastern Nicaragua and adjacent marine areas. This
system is forecast to move west-northwestward and cross the Yucatan
Peninsula on Wednesday with no significant increase in
organization. Some development of this system is possible after it
emerges across the southwestern Gulf beginning on Thursday while
the system moves to the west-northwest or northwest at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.