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The Iceman posted a topic in Philadelphia RegionWell since the threat will be at around 120 hours out at the 12z runs, it is time to fire up the disco thread. copying and pasting my post from the general thread in here from this morning to kick things off. Help me bring one more home before we say goodbye to winter! Euro and CMC OP's give the area a solid snowfall for next week but it is the ensembles that really have me sold on this threat. huge improvements overnight at 500 mb imo on the 00z ensemble guidance...take a look EPS GEFS GEPS stronger ridging, 50/50 low doesnt move out as quickly and -NAO looks stronger than previous runs. Overall very good trends in the mid range. Plus the EPO tanking suggests that the airmass may be slightly underdone right now. This is a much more SECSy look than yesterday. the ridging up in canada and greenland is key imo the gefs is weaker with it at 06z and it trended more north with the primary and coastal leading to a warmer solution. however, the geps and eps are stronger with that ridging and the primary dies off further south keeping us all or mostly all snow.