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DiehardFF

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Posts posted by DiehardFF

  1. Just now, ORH_wxman said:

    Dewpoint drain is already happening and will continue most of today. I think people who are taking guidance at face value or close to it are going to be somewhat surprised. BOS already down to 13F with single digits filtering down coastline and CT valley in CNE. I've seen this before. 

    I am 35/19 at Tweed. Ugh

  2. Its crazy to think how cold its been lately, that the second a storm comes up, it turns into rain. I am hopefully that the meso models and short-range models pick up on the cold air, but seems like HVN area is gonna get a quick burst of snow, then rain (based on QPF, a lot)

  3. 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

    I'll say this....a change rain is still possible. But it is just going to take a much more amped solution than what any model is spitting out today. We will need to go back to the solutions that attempted to cut the low inland...that will cut off the CAD dewpoint source from the N and NW...you'd still get a lot of ZR even on a track that tried to rip to ALB but the latent heat would eventually succeed even if the low at the last second formed an appendage out over block island or something. 

    I think that type of track is becoming a lot less likely now. We've lost most of the northwest outliers even on the ensembles. There's still a few so we can't rule it out, but assuming the globals have the right idea, nobody is going to sniff freezing in CT outside of the GON region over to maybe the immediate coastline in SW CT but even there could be tough..the low is trying to string out to the east so SW CT's longitude keeps them colder...might even see rapidly falling temps before anyone else. I could see HVN never reaching freezing. Certainly just inland. Someone there could get a devastating ice storm. 

    Hello. Just wanted to say thank you and to the others who really do add amazing input to this forum. I have not had a chance to really look at all the models in the HVN area. I work as a paramedic for AMR in New Haven and will be working this weekend. Just wanted to know what you think the impacts will be, start time and when the most intense part of storm will be. I appreciate it.

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