Covered this at end of Dec as to the 7th then 14th then 21st being the magic moment . 7th out the door and 14th on life support so let’s head in the sand for the 21st. Models cannot predict low pressure placements and movements around the mid Atlantic in the winter. They are not outcome related forecasts, they are myriads of examples. That desperately needs to be resolved
Perfection is required for Miller B domination.. When a low comes up from Georgia and moves northeast like an A then very little perfection is needed. We don’t get As for almost 10 years now
The idea of a pronounced 30-45 day cold run was very good and since last 4 days of November thru today being 40 days it ends. 30 of 40 were below average including 21 in a row (Wow) and averaged -5. Snow has not shown up yet
We used to have so many participants here and hundreds and hundreds when a snow event was looming. Not nearly so nowdays and it’s not the nature of the participants but rather changing dynamics and clueless, unstable models
Well I addressed the 1/7 onset date and the delay monster of 1/14 and 1/21 and got run out of town on rails . And as usual and as indicated it’s beginning to transpire. Models give examples of weather but not forecasts and “guidance” is a mere wish
Let the fire bombing begin
Tug Hill Special . I remember going way up in the hills where a gas station log cabin and some houses were and sledding the roads. Matt, Chuck , Me and couple more . Never seen such darkness at 1pm when it’s snow so hard 3-4”ph there