SnowMan

Just now, TexMexWx said:

FWD's snow forecast has been changing a good deal, but now they're basically forecasting another 3-4" for me, with a relatively tight gradient to the south along I-20

Yep - up here in Celina - I am looking at 4-6 and hoping for 8 lol

Wonder how much snow melt we will see up in North Texas today before tomorrow's storm.  Hopefully not too much, but with a high around 20 and the sun angle we could see more than expected.

Wow and NAM is more robust with the QPF...

4 minutes ago, vwgrrc said:

I'm more leaning towards NAM/HRRR at this range and for the type of event. But I'm not a professional by any mean.

So we in the northwest corner of collin county.  Looks like sleet/freezing rain.  

Just now, vwgrrc said:

I mean there's a chance it could a more sleet/freezing rain even than purely snow. HRRR & NAM seem both indicating that.

Yeah I am pulling up the GFS...new at reading models, but doesn't seem like there is a ton of QPF with this.  Although it does look it drops right over our house lol. We are located where the blue/purple is in north texas.

1 hour ago, vwgrrc said:

The Wednesday storm will probably give NTX some real power issue looks like 

What do you mean exactly?  What are you seeing?

21 minutes ago, aggiegeog said:

Starting to look like a DFW bullseye with heavy sleet and snow on Wed.

I’m in Celina.  Hoping for a massive ice storm. 

If this happens will it be overhead or will I have to find a clear spot with a good horizon view?

it was really little more than some whimpering. 

 

Let's see how it plays out.

I know...just joking around / Im nervous on how it all plays out

Nice W. MA has moaned their way to the 24-36 range and meanwhile I get subsidence and only 18 inches

Some models don't even turn us over to rain.

You're gonna rain a little...

Significant tick east on the 18z rgem.  Not buying it.

 

rgem_18z_1-26-15.gif

Agreed.  And actually it reality is a little further west I am pumped...nice banding

Still a little disconcerting to see model differences like this. I think Kev-Will_ray still get into the def band for a time.

Does it make its way up here? 

Do you envision it more of a N/S orientation or SW to NE?

Hopefully the ratios are good up here so the totals can be inflated lol

Probably between 1.75-2.00"

Thx...looks good for 20-24...

Any maps that can be posted?  I don't have access and would like to see how this area looks

Everyone croaked.

Details?

Euro goes neg tilt faster, and closes off sooner . NYC destruction *per NYC PBP

What does it mean for our area though?

RPM has dropped me in the last 12hrs from 20" to 8"... I think it's on crack !!

You/We will be fine...22-25 inches

The euro probably caves a bit too.........but we've said that before and it ends up coming in more westward. lol

I think you look good. I'd rather be in interior Rockingham though.

Thanks.  Yeah it's gonna be close...just hope I am on the right side of things lol

How does the north shore look for the deform band?

Some of these shifts east could be convective feedback right?

When does Cory P's flight leave Ft laudy (Snowman) or did it already

I think he said he landed...

Thing of beauty...I like that positioning

Sref plume mean of 30 inches for here