Stormy46237

5 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Devastating structural damage pics coming out now. Going to be a lot of content today 

The lack of content 5 hours since your post has me on edge.  I have family with homes at Las Brisas and friends who work down on the commercial strip.  Can't get in touch with any of them.  The homes at Las Brisas 'should' be fine but I'm getting nervous.  

3 minutes ago, SolidIcewx said:

Is it me or does it seem to be developing more on the north end and extending more north?

I was thinking the same but local authorities are insistent that it's all going south.  

Southeast side of Indy is just getting a bit of freezing rain; the roads are still fine with the exception of the overpasses.  I don't think we're going to get anything much out of this first round.  I have to admit, I'm a little disappointed.

Bed-Stuy right now.

Is surge still any issue or is precip going to be the problem in NYC  and surrounding?

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

Looks to go further than modeled

Further left? I'm snowed under with trying to watch models and radars available.

18 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

Multiple 911 calls citywide for water rescues and now there are blackouts popping up from

manhole explosions in areas thwt don’t have above ground lines

Lovely.  Citizen app is for crap right now.  

3 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

In the past hour, NYC’s Central Park received 1.38” of rain. This is the 3rd hourly figure of 1.35” or more this year. That breaks the #record of 2 such days, which had been set in 2006. 

The trains are so screwed.  No trees left on daughter's street, those went down with Sandy.  

My daughter lives in Bed-Stuy Brooklyn, they have quite the mess there right now.

21 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

TS watch for NYC

My daughter just moved to Brooklyn.  She's used to tornadoes here at home and she's basically laughing at me about the TS watch. *sigh*

Indy just got put into the mix of things.  We haven't had anything interesting in years as we seem to be in a bubble.  Confidence for the forecast??  

Video from the Beech Grove Indiana tornado that allegedly only hit a house and did a little roof damage.  https://www.wthr.com/article/beech-grove-hs-surveillance-camera-video-shows-weekend-tornado

On 6/16/2019 at 9:06 PM, Jackstraw said:

Prelim's from today's survey...

Public Information Statement
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
551 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2019



...FIRST NWS DAMAGE SURVEY FOR 06/15/2019 ...

A widespread tornado outbreak occurred the evening of June 15th
as a remnant MCV from earlier storms interacted with a warm front
in southern Indiana. This is the first PNS that covers the
surveys that were completed today, Sunday June 16th with additional
surveys to be completed tomorrow, Monday June 17th.

.Tornado #1 Freedom Tornado...

Rating:                 EF-1
Estimated peak wind:    110 mph
Path length /Statute/:  8.22 miles
Path width /Maximum/:   200 yards
Fatalities:             0
Injuries:               0

Start date:             06/15/2019
Start time:             6:29 PM EDT
Start location:         Freedom/Owen Co/IN
Start Lat/Lon:          39.2038 N/-86.8726 W

End date:               06/15/2019
End time:               6:45 PM EDT
End location:           2 S Spencer/Owen Co/IN
End_lat/lon:            39.2738 N/ -86.7509 W

The tornado began just southwest of downtown Freedom before
moving into the town shearing numerous trees around town.
The tornado continued to the northeast leaving a very clear
path of sheared and uprooted trees in a path about 200
yards wide. The storm crossed the White River several times over
its lifetime and followed the river line to south of Spencer.
This is where a large building had its roof uplifted and walls
collapsed. The building was part of a business that was set to
open for the first time on Monday.  The damage ended shortly
after and the storm recycled into the next tornado.

.TORNADO #2 Ellettsville Tornado...

Rating:                 EF-2
Estimated peak wind:    130 mph
Path length /Statute/:  3.7 miles
Path width /Maximum/:   400 yards
Fatalities:             0
Injuries:               0

Start date:             06/15/2019
Start time:             6:48 PM EDT
Start location:         2 W Ellettsville/Monroe Co/IN
Start Lat/Lon:          39.2739 N / -86.6075 W

End date:               06/15/2019
End time:               6:58 PM EDT
End location:           4 N Ellettsville/Monroe Co/IN
End_lat/lon:            39.2473 N / -86.6671 W

The tornado began in rural countryside northeast of
Ellettsville doing some tree damage before crossing
State Road 46 and doing significant tree damage along
Chafin Chapel Road.  A 400 yard wide path of trees was
completely shredded in spots.  Additional widespread tree
damage was found on Mount Tabor road and West Cowden Road.
Along West Cowden Road, several barns and outbuildings
were destroyed as well as a loosely anchored garage
completely swept off of its foundation. The tornado
continued into rural forest before dissipating.

.TORNADO #3 Greene County Tornado...

Rating:                 EF-2
Estimated peak wind:    130 mph
Path length /Statute/:  3.52 miles
Path width /Maximum/:   400 yards
Fatalities:             0
Injuries:               0

Start date:             06/15/2019
Start time:             6:56 PM EDT
Start location:         4 NE Koleen/Greene Co/IN
Start Lat/Lon:          39.0456 N / -86.7965 W

End date:               06/15/2019
End time:               7:00 PM EDT
End location:           5 SSE Solsberry/Greene Co/IN
End_lat/lon:            39.0500 N / -86.7312 W

The tornado started west of North Crowe Road causing significant
damage to a newly built building on Crowe Road. The owner verified
it was well built and in very good shape.  The track continued
across State Road 54 and left a wide swath of tree damage with a
resident stating over 100 acres of trees were snapped.  The
storm cross State Road 43 and dissipated in a field to the east.

.TORNADO 4 BEECH GROVE TORNADO...

Rating:                 EF-1
Estimated peak wind:    100 mph
Path length /Statute/:  1.86 miles
Path width /Maximum/:   200 yards
Fatalities:             0
Injuries:               0

Start date:             06/15/2019
Start time:             7:26 PM EDT
Start location:         2 SW Beech Grove/Marion Co/IN
tart Lat/Lon:           39.7071 N / -86.0971 W

End date:               06/15/2019
End time:               7:30 PM EDT
End location:           1 E Beech Grove/Marion Co/IN
End_lat/lon:            39.7160 N / -86.0641 W

The tornado began southwest of Beech Grove causing roof
damage before crossing Emerson Avenue and causing additional
roof damage to a school and house. The tornado continued for
several hundred feet before dissipating.

.TORNADO 5 East Marion Co...

Rating:                 EF-0
Estimated peak wind:    70 mph
Path length /Statute/:  0.9 miles
Path width /Maximum/:   100 yards
Fatalities:             0
Injuries:               0

Start date:             06/15/2019
Start time:             7:37 PM EDT
Start location:         4 E Beech Grove/Marion Co/IN
Start Lat/Lon:          39.7397 N / -86.0009 W

End date:               06/15/2019
End time:               7:38 PM EDT
End location:           5 E Beech Grove/Marion Co/IN
End_lat/lon:            39.7411 N / -85.9842 W

A brief touchdown near Brookville road and East
Raymond street caused significant damage to several
outbuildings and minor tree damage near Brookville Road.



EF Scale: The Enhanced Fujita Scale Classifies
Tornadoes into the following categories.

EF0...Weak......65 to 85 mph
EF1...Weak......86 to 110 mph
EF2...Strong....111 to 135 mph
EF3...Strong....136 to 165 mph
EF4...Violent...166 To 200 mph
EF5...Violent...>200 mph

NOTE:
The information in this statement is PRELIMINARY and subject to
change pending final review of the events and publication in
NWS Storm Data.

I'm sorry but the description of the Beech Grove tornado damage is bullsh*t.  I'm not arguing that it was only an EF1.  Heck, I called that before the first-responders ever made it to the damage.  However, "roof damage to a school and house" is ridiculous.  Multiple homes have damage, businesses west of the school lost trees and signage, the school was hit hard, the apartment complex that shares the school campus got hit and the photo that's being shared all over social media of Alro Steel is of just one of the larger businesses that received damage.  I'm looking at this mess daily so I admit, I'm a little sensitive, and I realize that the reports need to be short and factual but it reads as if they never even visited the affected area.  

Just now, Jackstraw said:

As much as I'd like too think I'll stay local chase wise IF anything is this far south.  Too many yahoo's with beer still in their coolers around here lol.  If it weren't a holiday different story.

I hear you.  I was just thinking the same thing.  

18 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

Onset near/before dawn.  Conditions going downhill later Saturday morning into Saturday evening.

Good to know, as I was expecting it to be later in the day.  Could be a game changer all the way around.  I'll be paying close attention.  

I've not seen a lot about the timing of this system and I'm trying to coordinate safe transportation for my staff tomorrow night.  I work in an event venue and providing our artist makes it in from Ottowa without a hitch, the show will go on regardless of the weather.  Is it still too early to ask when things will start kicking up in the metro Indy area? 

~Thanks