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MDsnowPRO

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Posts posted by MDsnowPRO

  1. 10 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

    But this is the fallacy that gets us into trouble. There is no continuity between runs. Next run is just as likely to shift the other way.  The better argument might be that perhaps the Gfs still struggles with phases involving multiple waves and chases convection or keys the wrong wave. It used to do that. No idea if it still does. 
     

    Frankly over the last 72 hours I fail to see how anything has changed much. The consensus is still about the same. Some of the players swapped sides or shifted here or there but still looks like the big storm potential is east of the bay on most guidance with maybe some very minor accumulations west of the bay. 

    Wish more people would read and retain this. So important to grasp these facts and change mindsets so we can be more objective moving forward. 

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