terdferguson

Tide gauge in upper Tampa Bay still tanking.

Current negative tide in St Pete. Tide is "incoming" until 3.

Coffeepot bayou in St Pete.

11 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

My god....

My Uncle lives in port Charlotte on the water.  He has been in the eye of hurricane Camille (pass Christian, Ms), eye of Charley, and now Ian. He stayed. 

1 minute ago, Eskimo Joe said:

 

We have had a VERY rainy summer in St. Pete. Where I live I can probably count the days that it hasn't rained in the last 30 or 40 days on one hand.  It more or less has rained every day.

4 minutes ago, TPAwx said:

Yes indeed.  You've got that sustained fetch for 24+ hours, layered with 20+ inches of rain that has nowhere to go.  The main rivers are dumping all that into the bays.  I'm on an east facing shoreline of Hillsborough Bay so I'm going to have an n=1 scenario play out.  

If we got that kind of rain on top of 4' of water, then Shore Acres would be screwed.  They would definitely have water in houses.  My kids go to school over there and I have to drive through saltwater on any high tide this time of year.

4 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

Someone from Tampa would know this but wouldn't a landfall just south be a problem for places like eastern coastal St Pete and Pinellas point be vulnerable as a E-NE fetch of 50 plus knots pushes water across the bay...obviously you would not be piling water in advance from the Gulf but I imagine a nasty 3-4 foot surge could still happen

Hi SnowGoose.  I live in NE St. Pete.  5 blocks from the bay. I wouldn't be too worried about that. A 3-4 surge here wouldn't be a huge deal as we've experienced that a number of times over the years.  The normal flooding places like Shore Acres would have problems and some homes would be damaged but not too much and not something we haven't already seen before.  Overall that would be a huge win for our area compared to any landfall to our north.

Unreal how quickly the inner core dissolved on radar.  I'm in St. Petersburg and we're in what should be a very strong inner band and it's a total non event outside right now. Little rain and a little wind, but nothing to write home about.  

I'm in St. Petersburg.  Looking like that jog should put the heaviest most inner band just to the west of us. 

We are having terrible red tide in Tampa Bay.  It's really widespread....I've seen tons of dead fish at downtown St. Pete, Indian Rocks Beach, Tierra Verde and in the upper bay near Tampa.  If we get a storm surge here it could flush the bay and in theory this may help with the red tide.

Driving from Boston to Stowe tomorrow.  Wondering if there are some spectacular peak areas I should hit on the way.   I'm reading that the NEK is past peak.  Is the kanc past peak too?