wxtogo

21Z SREF's increased for the Wednesday night/Thursday event.  

Just now, psuhoffman said:

I see things I don’t like at 81 hours. That’s all I’m gonna say. 

Just now, Ji said:

Don't see a huge difference so far

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LOL

Finally!  AKQ woke up and matched the WSW for their northern and western zones, finally matching up with the other offices. It only was about an 8 hour delay?

8 minutes ago, wasnow215 said:

I have no issue with what they’re doing so far with this storm AKQ. I don’t know the reason but December 9th was botched. There was lots of good guidance showing double digit snowfall totals, inside of 48 hours. Never pulled the trigger. Thankfully it was on a Sunday. On a workday it would have been a disaster on the roadways, with unprepared motorists.

Agreed

5 minutes ago, dswx said:

No, this sort of "LWX is consistently better" is absolutely pure crap. We've gone over this before and just like in December. For the second time, it is a completely different geography and neither LWX or RNK have to deal with warm air advection issues like AKQ does.  Especially in complicated, classic rain/snow/ice patterns like this one. And I have known the AKQ people for a long time. If someone at LWX does not understand the difference between their CWA and AKQ's they really should not be working in the NWS at all as they have no clue at all about basic regional forecasting  issues.

Sure?  So climo for Louisa, Goochland, and Bowling Green dictates a WAA issue for this event or the December one for that matter? All I’m suggesting is that it may be time to realign geographiry to fit in better with the WAA issues AKQ deals with?

LWX is consistently better. I have a friend that works there and they are scratching their heads about why AKQ is reluctant to go to warnings in their western and northern areas, just like in December?  Would certainly help to have alignment with Blacksburg and Sterling in these events and provide more consistency across the state?

Can someone knock on the door of AKQ and wake them up?

1 minute ago, dswx said:

You are comparing apples and oranges. Why? Because neither LWX or Blacksburg have to deal with warm air advection aloft and potential sleet issues. And not just today. Almost always.

That is very fair. 

Certainly didn’t mean it to be cheap. It is just mind boggling how Blacksburg and Sterling are always hours ahead of AKQ with their zones and they never match up. Sterling upgraded Charlottesville to 4-8 hours before AKQ reluctantly increased Richmond from 3-6. This on top of a WS watch being reluctantly issued and then a WS warning 3 hours before the event?  C’mon?

Pretty sad how AKQ is so disconnected from the other offices?