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homerj

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Everything posted by homerj

  1. I think with hurricanes people would be justified to be upset. From putting up shutters to evacuating, the preparations are costly and time consuming. I wonder how much of the economic loss from a storm like this is simply due to business closures, school closures, and people just cancelling their plans. Either the persistent biases in these models need to be corrected or better communication tools need to be developed. Don't get me wrong, the local mets do good job of trying urge caution. But most people simply look at their weather app, and it takes a few years of living in a place like Charlotte to realize that when a snowflake shows up in a forecast, it is a hallucination, a computer glitch.
  2. Imagine this situation occurring with hurricane forecasting. 4 days out, the models show a Cat 5 storm with a direct hit on Miami. And then it ends up being a tropical storm 500 miles away, or nothing at all. And this happens week after week, every single year.
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