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WeatherGeek2025

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Everything posted by WeatherGeek2025

  1. you never know if start using the mesoscale models as of this evening!
  2. it's dynamic... not strong but dynamic as the elevation drop seems to help the precipitation dynamics if you will. Normally you would see this shred from the poconos but i do want to say this i have yet to see a storm like this behave the way this one is modeled. Also maybe climate change will climatically change our storm tracks and its dynamics!
  3. but this isn't a SWFE storm it's a NWFE (North west flow event)
  4. guys calm down we're getting a big hit. Merry Christmas
  5. Id take global guidance at this time until about tomorrow this time. Than we pay attention to Rgem, Nam, HRRR, etc.
  6. do we have consensus here? it seems like a 4-8 inch snow is on the table if we get these good ratios we could be looking at 6-10 for the city
  7. I wouldn't be surprised if temperatures dropped to low 20's with those dynamics! saturday morning will look and feel like north pole
  8. we need the GFS run to verify that's literally as good as it's going to get for this storm
  9. what's your reasoning? most models including gfs have all the lows scoot way south of us and it's going to be way colder
  10. i guess that would be the ceiling @Stormlover74great to see. perfect track
  11. 4-8 inches according to euro? This is great news
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