Damn that looks fantastic. Soooo hard not to get roped in with these looks lol. Oh well may as well push all the chips in because this is probably our last big chance anyway. If it fails we can track the nice sustained warm up for spring.
One thing I will note is the that right now nothing is showing our typical miller b fail scenario, the more dud runs are south, not north, which I think is good. If the models were showing us getting skipped north every other run I’d be mad nervous.
Such a good run…..this is gonna be stressful to watch for the next few days. It will good to keep in mind miller B crush job DC to BOS isn’t common and there is a chance we end up on the outside looking in. That said, let’s keep this right where it is LFG!!!!!
Euro ai locked on to what would basically be the final solution for yesterdays event around 108 hours, but it had the general idea right of a storm tracking to our south well before that, and well before the other models.
Yeah with lasts night storm at this range the euro ai basically had the idea right while the euro op had a major blizzard for New England which of course didn’t happen. Euro ai gets the Synoptics right and then as we get closer the other models refine the forecast.
From now on I'm going to be looking for a situation in which any other model leads the way. Cause in the last few events it's not even close. Whatever this thing has they slowly trend to it. If I can't find an example I'm going to just look at this model for the medium range. Of course when we get close to an event we'll need the higher resolution models and from afar the ensembles, but 3 ish -7 days it's all Euro AI.
Is Jay's Wintry Mix FB page @Ji?
Also if we cant get snow I say lets have a deluge and wash away this glacier and also start the drought busting process.
Yeah it's crazy how fast this model took over. Everything just trends towards it. It really does seem to pointless to use anything else in the medium range when this thing locks onto an idea.
It's getting to the point of...do we even have to look at other models? I feel like with the last few events it's always a step ahead. It's ensembles snow maps are a mess though they always show a lot of snow for no reason.