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SomeguyfromTakomaPark

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Everything posted by SomeguyfromTakomaPark

  1. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Looks more coastal and less IVT. I want to believe!!!
  2. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Agree, somehow, someway, maybe this thing can be right for once and it’ll pound snow all day on Sunday. But yeah, not counting on it.
  3. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    I’d be happy to see a few inches of wet snow on the grass, why not? But yeah if the gfs slowly comes back to a low impact thing…oh well!
  4. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    No heartbreak with this one…if it fails oh well it’s spring.
  5. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    I don’t know if I ever remember THIS much disagreement 48 hours out…..GFS been down bad for a long time but please, one time, be right.
  6. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    So what changed overnight? Bout to go workout don’t have time for a full read.
  7. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Agree, I’m all in. Gimme me a tucked monster, at this point of the year gimme something big or just move it along to spring.
  8. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Did it get new data ingested? Wild shift even for the op basically at NAM range.
  9. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Im not sure I remember a big favorable eps shift like this in a while…let’s get another at 0z.
  10. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    EPS precip made a huge shift west as expected based on that 500 map.
  11. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Holy moly!
  12. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    AI gfs looks slightly improved at 72, low a tad further NW.
  13. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    The crazy part is we know the gfs is wrong, it’s gotten its clock cleaned all winter, yet here we are awaiting it at 18z. lol something wrong with us.
  14. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    So will the gfs cave all in one run or does it slowly walk back our BECS?
  15. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Little bit higher heights out front, little bit more interaction between streams over the upper midwest.
  16. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    500 map does look like a too many cooks in the kitchen scenario.
  17. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Yeah shifted east, looks more just like a little norlun interaction.
  18. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Been said 1,000 times but this is going to be an unbelievable coup or horrendous bust for the entire GFS suite.
  19. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Ah thanks, I was looking at the 90 hour frame but yeah huge differences before that and how they arrive at their solutions.
  20. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Yes, the school of musical traditions which is now it's own building. My kids play bluegrass , and I do too! Bevco is great, the food is always on point. And the UK shifted a lot from its 00z run, looks better at 500mb.
  21. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    You rang . I'll be in downtown TP tonight because my kids have music lessons there, maybe I'll stop by!
  22. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    I need a met to explain how the CMC and GFS look so similar at 500mb 90 hours but have such vastly different surface outcomes. All the people saying "small changes" are right I think. The position and orientation of the trough at 500 mb are almost the same.
  23. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    The CMC and GFS aren't that different at 500 mb at 90 hours.
  24. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    If this ends up being nothing (likely) I feel like there really will be no point in ever looking at this model again. If it shows a BECS in NAM range and then loses it 6 hours later why would I ever even consider using it.
  25. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    We will be cursing it in 6 hours when it shows sprinkles and 37 degrees.
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