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SomeguyfromTakomaPark

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Everything posted by SomeguyfromTakomaPark

  1. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    lol you must be new here. We track threats in winter. Why would we take a break? This is fun for us even when they don’t trend the way we want. We take a big break from about March 15 to Nov 15 every year.
  2. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Busted way high on temps which I’m fine with, don’t wanna worry about bursting pipes.
  3. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Yeah I’ll be watching for changes til at minimum 12z tomorrow. Pretty loaded situation in terms of potential. Models are swinging around run to run still so I don’t discount the possibility of big changes.
  4. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Yeah it’s a miss for most to the east now, but not by that much. Also GEFS just trended the other way. It’s only Tuesday…
  5. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Anyone know if we can access this new Google ensemble model?
  6. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Roads are in terrible shape around here! Some roads that are normally two lanes of traffic have only one lane.
  7. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Looks really good, throwing precip back to the wv panhandle is a good sign.
  8. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    I would LOVE 3-6 or 4-8 snow on snow in an arctic pattern with good ratios. But heck let’s get this to trend back to a blizzard, still possible.
  9. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    I really don’t hate this. At 130 hours this is perfect.
  10. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Also we don’t need it all back in one run, many runs to go. We’ve seen this before, sniff something out, lose it, trend back to it.
  11. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Euro ai trended nw, it’s a hit. Prob a little better than 12z.
  12. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    lol plz, we’ve seen storms shift 500 miles in 140 hours.
  13. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    ICON is 100 miles to the right of going boom for us. Shift the trough that much and we’re good.
  14. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    They’re all long shots. That’s why they don’t happen often lol. But that’s the fun of it! If you just look at the 144 panel of ai euro you’d be pumped. does anyone have the google ensemble for 12z?
  15. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    We can ask to be crushed by every run for 144 hours lol. But yes I agree, at this stage we need to be in the game, and we are.
  16. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    EPS shows all options on the table except a cutter, nuclear tuck crush job, OTS, and coastal scraper. I like it at this range.
  17. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    At 138 the EPS has a lotta members that would work for us.
  18. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    EPS looking good to me so far (90 hours) but also I am not very intelligent.
  19. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Let’s see the ensembles. It was around this time frame for this last storm that we were switching from worried about suppression to mixing. The 12z guidance keeps us in the game which is what you want at this range.
  20. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Hard shoveling and ice chopping! Been out all morning.
  21. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    CMC looks a lot better than 0z. Low in the gulf 108, 500 looks tasty.
  22. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    it was the last to catch on to a mixing event by a long ways for yesterdays storm
  23. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    This stuff is bulletproof, a pickup just came down my block and didn’t event dent this stuff. You could ice skate.
  24. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Yeah and normally here it warms up in a few days, we rarely have a week of Adirondacks in Feb temps after a storm.
  25. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    The 144 panel on the euro is absurd weather porn for nyc metro. 1 inch QPF in 6 hours with ripping wind. Madness if that verifies.
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