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SomeguyfromTakomaPark

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Everything posted by SomeguyfromTakomaPark

  1. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    I think it’s gonna be cold and the long wave pattern is good and it’s our prime climo. Hopefully stuff pops up!
  2. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    ICON with a nice bump NW, coastal areas back in play. Maybe we can back into some light snow at least?
  3. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    It is look better this run, not sure if it would be enough to matter for us.
  4. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    NAM digging that vort a bit more west lolololol, couldn’t help myself
  5. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    That’s good, low single digits is pipe bursting weather. man this snowpack is bulletproof. Have we ever had a colder stretch after a storm than this?
  6. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    If the models bring this back for us, even a 2-4 inch deal…would be awesome. It’s downright arctic out here we have bodies of water freezing, massive piles of snow and sleet everywhere. You have an absolute bullet proof glacier of snowpack. Adding even a touch of powder on that would be fantastic.
  7. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Guess this one is about cooked! Well pattern still looks pretty ripe going forward and no big torches imminent so I’m sure there will be more chances.
  8. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    It’s so tantalizing to have a 978 that close to us when we’re in a massive outbreak…
  9. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    The confluence backed north a little at hour 54, maybe a little less suppressive ?
  10. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    This is what I liked about the EPS this morning, the 90 hour 6-he qpf map has beefier precip further west into southern va and western nc.
  11. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Basically you and I think are in the same boat to some extent, we need to hope the GFS is right and then bump it north 50-100 miles. Maybe that is a miracle I’m asking for lol.
  12. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Yeah I think if it looks the same tomorrow then we’re in the “we need a miracle” stage, but for now still in the game.
  13. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    I think today is the day for me where we need to see the trends continue towards us. Hopefully we can get some at 12z! Still right at the edge of the time frame where we can get a decent shift north on the guidance.
  14. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    CMC bombs the low to 951 once they merge.
  15. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    At least this storm it’s more clear what we need to see at 500. Last storm our ability to tell if a run was good or bad was like zero until the surface maps dropped of the actual storm.
  16. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    NAM looked like it was about to crush us. so I went and looked on southernwx and it appears one guy downloaded 6 of the 68 member weathernext ensemble before the download glitched. He says all 6 look good for their region and the latest one he posted looks like a blizzard for us.
  17. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Oh lord that can’t possibly be the mean is it???
  18. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    lol we are asking ai to tell us about ai models. What a world!
  19. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    There is some pretty interesting discussion in the New England forum about this. I’ve been reading Mets in there since the models lost this yesterday explaining why it would come back. They seem pretty confident it’s not done trending.
  20. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    I’ll be really interested to see those plots. What’s good for the south, to some extent, is probably good for us.
  21. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    For some reason I’m feeling that way too, we’ll see!
  22. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    It’s just not that far from a big storm for us, no reason to jump ship completely.
  23. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Yeah buts it’s still like a few noise level shifts from a HECS.
  24. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    If you consider 14 inches for dc back…..yes it’s back.
  25. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    This is what we’re saying, 100+ hours, complicated stuff. Changes will happen. Would not take this gfs forecast literally or even seriously yet but this is what can happen, powder keg situation with the arctic air. Let’s keep trending.
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