chasestormz39

23 hours ago, janetjanet998 said:

For some reason I foresee an overachieving sleet storm for us

Some areas north of I72 are going to bust so bad with their winter storm warnings

Both 18z HRRR and NAM ticked a bit SE to come in line with almost an identical GHDIII solution.

3 minutes ago, WeatherMonger said:

I'm just worried because I have been in the bullseye totals for way longer than one should be. Every run of every model. 

 

It's one of those, if it seems too good to be true, it probably is things. Stopping to get some whiskey on the way home, have to work tomorrow and need to sleep

I still think you get smacked with  I’ll be in Bloomington, IL and hoping for the same!

2 minutes ago, janetjanet998 said:

2nd wave more south

this also means less over lapping from the first wave and max snow amounts down some

Noticed that as well on the 0z GFS. And about a 3 hour window with minimal snowfall between waves.

Here we go with 0z runs 

4 minutes ago, hoosierwx said:

Will be there next week. We have done it on the 4th before and it was a bit too much excitement so there at least some people more boring than you.

We usually don’t go this week for that exact reason but only time we could make it work this year. Love the beaches here. Okay, back to Elsa

25 minutes ago, Akeem the African Dream said:

sounds awful tbh 

I’d look for a better place to vacation if it was me 

 

Sounds like you’re a pretty boring person tbh

Vacationing in Destin/Miramar Beach. Almost all models take Elsa way East and Southeast of me but 12z NAM and NAM Nest are much further west. While seeming unlikely, anyone have any thoughts on this?