GreekWeatherGod95

TWC has Ian making landfall. 

2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Euro tries to do that. 

Euro giving us some hope here on Long Island 

Heavy banding starting in southeast Nassau County

3 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

Let’s go 

Be U TI Ful

4 minutes ago, EasternLI said:

Hrrr slowly working on consolidating that low earlier too. Comparing last 3 runs. 

How much does that factor in the amounts we would be getting on Long Island?

Just now, nycsnow said:

Very nice 

Snow picking up in Bellmore. Good coating on surfaces already.

27 minutes ago, Torch said:

Verging on moderate snow….covering everythin

Snow starting to fall here in Bellmore

Reporting from South East Nassau County. Lol

Just now, USCG RS said:

Small. Very small shifts. 

H5 has been trending beautfully

Hopefully 

1 minute ago, forkyfork said:

you guys need to realize any more shifts like we saw today and the blizzard option is on the table for most of the subforum

How much of a shift? 

18 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

 

Oh that’s nice. I’m on the edge in south eastern Nassau county 

1 minute ago, Windspeed said:

Uh oh...

That’s definitely the worst case scenario. God help those who are in its path.

1 minute ago, Hc7 said:

Same...all these years I thought id be safe in south/central Nassau, Henri has other plans apparently. I cringe to think about what type of impact something like this would have on the area, Isias was a disaster in terms of outages and that was just winds for a few hours, id imagine damages could be as bad or even worse than Sandy if that model verifies. A few days ago I thought there was no chance we could get a direct hit but it feels like its only getting more likely as things progress. Im just preparing myself to accept that we probably wont have power for like a week. 

Same for me in North Bellmore

7 hours ago, OKwx_2001 said:

GFS turns this into a massive major that hits NC. Peaks at 940 mb before it gets there

Lordy Jesus 

5 minutes ago, turtlehurricane said:

NHC now showing the official center is well to the north of the previous track, and winds have been upped to 40 mph

Welp, Hispaniola won’t rip this storm too much now. Norther side of the island isn’t too mountainous.

20 minutes ago, turtlehurricane said:

12z HWRF takes it right into me as a major hurricane. I'm starting to get quite excited! 5 pm advisory will obviously shift track towards SE FL. 

 

 

Ah, the classic Broward- Miami Dade Hurricane.

8 minutes ago, Floydbuster said:

I definitely think we could see a tropical storm out of this. The longer-range ensembles seem to like the wave leaving Africa this week as a potential Caribbean cruiser and much stronger. We're getting closer to the active times for sure.

We are still at least a week before a potential US landfall tho

6 hours ago, AmpedVort said:

Looks scary

Yikes 

10 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

My guess is this ends up much further east. SE coast threat. Big trough over the east—much earlier recurve. Trough will miss but influence a more northward track than current guidance.

Coast Rider maybe? Or will it curve OTS

It’s now officially a Tropical Storm 

9 hours ago, nycwinter said:

their is no rescue it's a recovery mission now..

Unfortunately you are probably right. Its sad tho

19 minutes ago, Prospero said:

OK, I'll be watching and checking models every six hours for the next few days. Great fun! But not so fun that I want to board up windows on my birthday July 6 here in Tampa Bay.

Let’s just hope this doesn’t hamper the rescue efforts for that collapsed building in Miami.

12 hours ago, cptcatz said:

This morning's HWRF develops 95L into a tiny cat 2 with the next wave hot on its heels...

Looks like Mother Nature wants to go fast and furious this hurricane season.