JustWeatherWx

36 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

Looks about the same as the typical rain/snow line

 

or the Piedmont / Coastal Plain fall line. 

3 hours ago, forkyfork said:

last summer had more 90 degree days than 2011 through 2013 at ewr

I feel like this has an * though, EWR has been running warm from reality for a while, but I get ultimately it is what it is. 

8 hours ago, uncle W said:

If this year has no measurable snow in March but a little in April it would be only the third time that has happened in NYC...I think there is only two winters that had a great February with major storms with no measurable snow in March but measurable snow in April...1894 and 1921...

The truth is without the mid season / well timed SSW it'd likely have been a big bust. 

5 hours ago, Brian5671 said:

NAM!

Nope. 

I still think this is mostly North and West of 287 for real chances with brief white rain elsewhere. 

Typically these rain to snow / cold crash situations typically shut off before it gets overly interesting. These 6 hour grabs aren't particular helpful in illustrating that. Exact timing and track location are key here, tricky forecast yet but certainly N/W favored here if anyone is to be favored.  

35 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

It is possible the storm comes further north 

If it did verbatim it'd be rain. There is a very fine line to walk there.

Even so - have to look deeper than just the ptype maps in one snapshot now. The Euro is solidly above freezing at the surface, and it's falling at 18z on March 19th at light rates...sounds more like white rain to me more than anything - as modeled. One step at a time.