rossi

1 minute ago, Blizzardo said:

I been around these boards since the 90's and Eastern days.. banned from that 33 and rain shit. ..lol sorry banter I think...

I have been around the boards as long as you & I understand how you feel

Has anyone heard from DT about his thoughts?

Just now, NEG NAO said:

yes still can be changes....

 

Yes I agree and changes are almost a guarantee!!

Just now, NEG NAO said:

Rossi - we are talking about possibilities - my point being you have to keep all options on the table - did I say its over ? whats wrong with you ??

Yes even the option that those areas get heavier accumulations then further north!!!

Just now, NEG NAO said:

but people out on LI and in Monmouth and Ocean / Better luck next time....

So that’s it no more tracking it’s over - based on a 18z gfs run- what’s wrong with you?

I told Walt the other day typically in these type storms NYC south do very well

6 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

Hey Walt did those come more NW? If the NW trend started already not a good sign. 

There is no trend this far out- each model run changes!

Just now, NJsnow89 said:

Thank you! Also, with confluence pressing down more each run, wouldn’t that trend this further south if anything?

Yes has been the case over the last 10 years in situations like this NYC on south have done extremely well 

Although early I believe system will trend south.

Past years areas NYC and south have done well with coastal storms.

Rossi

1 hour ago, wdrag said:

I'm waiting this out ...  no topic change til I'm sure Monday is a NO and Wednesday its big and south.  I try to frame these topics so they're reasonable ballpark and will be helpful.  If it looks like south will prevail, and/or many other guidance portend a big one, I'll reword the topic and try to be more accurate.  This was written Tuesday evening.  There is still time for many model adjustments and not necessarily favorable for us snow weenies.  

I just can't talk about this coming event as a done deal.  Still somewhat a thread the needle-lucky timing- and will it develop.  Tomorrow morning I'll use the 00z/11 guidance to reconsider everything. For now, best to be patient- wrap the holiday gifts, so you have more time closer to the event(s) to have fun with models and maybe shovel and appreciate those dendrites. 

Thank you -Walt

31 minutes ago, hazwoper said:

How dare you.....

Let’s get HM & DT!!

The title of this thread should be much further south for snow!

Light snow Manalapan, nj

Didn’t DT indicate there are good signs ahead last night?

Just now, NEG NAO said:

Is he a "Jersey Guy" ?

Yes from Monmouth county!!

Hey is Paul Bastardis guy still on this forum?

All we need is  50 to 100 mile east movement and we all get plastered

26 minutes ago, PB-99 said:

 

Don`t be shocked if there`s a KU event inside the timeline that I have outlined. 

 

Great flips are usually accompanied with one. 

 

 

Paul Good to see you in here posting once again!