Wxpert55

1 hour ago, ct_yankee said:

Seems to be regenerating its CDO at a healthy pace, it certainly looks like its strengthening. I suspect if this same exact storm were in this same exact place but being born for the first time there would be quite a bit of interest, at the very least some wild wishcasting posts. Instead, the board seems to be burnt out on ETA. I suspect a lot of people just wish it would go away at this point. I admit that right now it doesn't seem to have a very bright future, but still...

Yes I keep checking for new posts... Hope to see some interest over the next day

Just lost the entire Tin roof off my shed here in Mobile AL.. And I think someone outside our yacht club is stuck in their car on dog river bridge or something like that... Which means our boats right there in Turner marine are probably floating away.

3 hours ago, wdrag said:

2c worth... based on 12z/23 models and not necessarily looking at this correctly..

ICON is interesting. What is more interesting about the ICON is that Phase Diagram is opting turning to cold core over the central GMEX (attached).  

I think between the 25th and the 26th,,, whatever happens has to meander north to near FL where there seems to be more favorable SST, moisture, and possibly upper air pattern.  Still looks like a small tight system but a couple of the hurricane models are offering 64kt at 925MB approaching or passing close to FL.

I'm definitely interested in the phase diagrams-utility.  For now the NAEFS suggests looking e and ne of FL but I see the Euro/ICON etc look more favorably upon central GMEX. 

Seriously?? Ugh..