greenmtnwx

This winter is far from over. A ton of anomalously cold air in Canada and tendency for that air to intrude south periodically. It’s only less than mid February. I would be surprised if most places around the NYC metro that are sitting on between 25-30” of snow didn’t finish +40”.

Yeah but they are too far south. Get them clustered 100 miles north of there and lookout in Tom’s River.

Yes, where the hell you been?

This is not factual.

how much does 2” per hour at 10:1 add up to in 3 hours?

January 1994 ice storm incoming

This

GFS is definitely folding. Slowly but surely. Doubt the NAM thermals at your own risk. We just learned that again last week. Not to mention we still have two days of possible shifts. Keep V-day 2007 in the back of your mind. Congrats DC went to congrats VT.

I have a home in VT and spend a good part of the year there and travel through New England. Aside from the northern greens, lake belts and parts of the Adirondacks it hasn’t been a great season. Maybe average, below in some areas. Not great in Mass, NH or ME. Even the central greens, Killington etc not great. Cold yes, storm systems and above average snow, not so much.

Mount Holly might be better with this: Snow is expected to start from SW to NE in the early morning hours Sunday. Snow will be heavy at times and based on very cold temps and surfaces, snow will accumulate rapidly throughout the day Sunday. Warm air aloft may cause snow to mix or change to mixed precipitation later in the day Sunday from south to north but surface temperatures should remain below freezing for the area. Any precip type will accumulate and cause hazardous driving and transportation conditions. Total accumulations will likely range from 6–12” across the forecast area with the highest accumulations likely in central and northern areas. However, the impact of snow, mixed precipitation and unusually cold temperatures will cause dangerous conditions across the state. Snow and mixed precip could linger overnight Sunday into the daytime Monday before ending. Delays and cancellations are likely to begin the week. Stay tuned for additional updates.

If they are using the NBM then that may explain it. They also should stop doing that.

Ehh I’d argue they have been far less accurate than a lot of the smart folks on this board. I can tell you in the C NJ area they have had some hideously aggressive (and wrong) snow forecasts in recent years.

And I didn’t think the NAM looked half bad lol. It’s got an inch of liquid up to just south of the city through 84, pretty much all of which is snow.

Reminds me of a lighter version of Valentines 2007 setup. Models 4-5 days out had a MidAtlantic bullseye only to result in heaviest snows in NE and a ton of sleet in MidAtlantic up to NYC. When you see that heart shaped CAD signature often indicates a pretty strong warm push aloft. Just depends how far north it gets.

It’s coming.