ORH_wxman

Vday looks a little better on Euro. Maybe like 2-5" type event instead of 1-2" on last night's run....looks best southwest again.

ORH is eventually going to explode in value. They've "skillfully" managed to keep themselves a low-cost dump through the years, but it's becoming hard for even them to stop the tide coming in from the east. It's already getting really expensive in places just east of them like Shrewsbury, Boylston, etc. If they could ever fix the downtown area of ORH, the city real estate is primed to like double or triple in value over the next 2 decades. Biggest problem right now with the city is that the downtown area is still a dump and the places anyone wants to visit with bars/restaurants are usually east of downtown on Shrewsbury street....though it will be interesting to see how the new ballpark for the AAA team changes things.

Euro says congrats hoth to weatherX to snowman21 on 1-2" tonight.

I was back in ORH by 1989....don't worry, I was back here in time to personally witness the historic ORH snow drought....one of my earliest memories though is our pipes bursting in Xmas 1983 in San Antonio. That was an epic cold outbreak.

Ukie has a big one developing on 2/16-17 too. Good antecedent airmass in that setup.

I always said that personal finance/budgets should be a required course in high school....so many have no idea how to manage finances and its what gets people into trouble.

Ukie was decent for Sunday. Like 3-5" for most of SNE, though maybe a few ptype issues far S/SE areas. It also got like an inch or two into SW CT tonight.

GEM is a coastal for 2/16....not a SWFE like GFS/Euro.

Seriously.... Though I've known a lot of people who buy houses a bit our of their income range. They can technically "afford" it, but it's not smart financial planning. Barely scraping by each month. A lot of people do that. The mortgage brokers will finance you up to like 43% of your monthly income. When we were first getting pre-approved years ago and we made a lot less than we do now, I couldn't believe when they were like "yeah, we've pre-approved you up to 500k"....I was like "why in the hell would we take out a 500k loan we can't afford?"......but they only look at pure debt and not recurring large expenses like childcare, etc.

2/17 is not for this thread. Sunday looks like 2-4" on the GGEM

Yeah they are on the edge of SW CT...maybe the northern edge of SW CT if you divide the state into quarters.

You all in SW CT are in the best spot for this one....unlike yesterday. Hopefully you grab a couple

I won't be surprised at a few flakes at all, but I will be surprised if we get 1-2 inches.

Assuming fixed 30 year interest rates remain near 3%, prob a household income around 150k before taxes if you want to keep your mortgage below 25% of your monthly income. But that income threshold can vary depending on how much other debt/expenses you have....for a couple around 30 years old and also each paying 500-700 bucks per month in student loan debt, they couldn't afford it responsibly at 150k combined unless they went all Dave Ramsey on the rest of their budget....they'd prob need another 20-25k per year.

Except for the times they don't and dry arctic air chews it up.

NAM gets some light snow into the south coast area tonight...esp SW CT. As Ryan mentioned yesterday, the SGZ is really deep, so an inch or two of fluff down there can't be ruled out. Best chances are def SW CT....like Greenwich to BDR, but maybe slightly further northeast can get a little too. There's a lot of low level dry air to fight though, so I'd be skeptical north of there.

84h NAM actually looks pretty threatening....but we all know the caveats there. Models are likely going to struggle for several cycles here with handling the PV and the energy rotating around it. Wouldn't surprise me if we aren't really sure on Sunday until pretty close in.

Sweet house and nice plot....I think that house would own me though instead of me owning the house.

It's almost like he forgot that just happened in 2/1-2/2....he gets like 16" of firehose while Scooter was dripping in an inch of slush.

Yep....128 went totally out of control post-recession....like 2013-2018 the prices all went nuclear. They still are going nuclear, but they went from semi-affordable back in like 2013 or 2014 to completely unaffordable for middle class in that span. 495 belt is doing that right now. We got really lucky on our timing here....when you look at home values around here, they of course rose coming out of the bottom in 2012ish and rose steadily until like 2015, but then plateaued for about 18 months until around the time we bought our house in January 2017. Then in that spring of 2017, things went absolutely bonkers and they haven't stopped. They accelerated during the pandemic. So our place which we bought for 345k, you probably couldn't get for 450 right now. It's not like we have a big house (as people have seen in my pics), it's a 3 bedroom ranch with a walkout basement....granted, a nice little piece of land just under an acre, but still. This house shouldn't sell for 450-500k.

It's amazing the type of homes selling for 500k+ here in Holliston right now. Almost seems like all the "value" is in the 600-700k range at the moment. You get a little dumpy ranch or Cape similar to my house for 450-525k, but then if you spend 650k, you can get 4 beds and 2500-3000 sq ft.

Sunday looks like advisory level stuff at the moment, but can't rule out bigger yet. Cold profile, so may have to watch snow growth potential for another fluffer.

Pretty amped. A lot of non-snow in that. It’s more amped than all the other guidance though so no reason to sweat it at this range.

I feel like that is going to get chewed up really easily by dry arctic air....maybe south coast can watch for minor accums.

Yeah this is the most since Mar ‘18 here as well. I think we peaked at 27 or 28” that month. We have a legit chance to pass that if we can cash in on one of these larger threats coming up. But this one has a much better chance at being the longest sustained pack since 2015. Recent years since 2015 have been pretty cruddy during mid-winter so we’ve melted down to bare ground easily. This one started 1/26 here, so we’ll see if we can run the table into 2nd half of March or better.