SnowFreak2000

Just now, weatherpruf said:

Is the NAM ever even right? ANd anyway, it will change by tomorrow. But I could see Upton not thinking much of this one but the areas just to the south maybe doing a little better, like 3-4. that would be Mt Holly's wheelhouse.

Nam mostly sucks. I would wait until tomorrow 12z runs to really see if that plume of moisture makes it north. That high is really pressing it so there’ll be some crazy precip gradients. Like philly could get 8 inches and we can get an inch. The precip is getting shredded by that stubborn high. 

This one is done for the city for sure onto Wednesday. Good night folks

It has changed to sleet here in white plains  at 33 degrees

Raining in white plains this is bs

Give it a bit of time once the precipitation really develops the dynamic cooling will cool the columns and change the sleet up north to snow maybe even in New York City.

The radar looks horrible. Can the mods pin this thread on top

My forecast

Albany: 4
Binghamton: 3
Boston: 3
Bridgeport: 3
Concord: 1
Hartford: 4
Islip: 2
New City: 3
New York City: 2
Newark: 1
Portland: dusting
Poughkeepsie: 4
Providence 6
Scranton: 3
White Plains: 3
Worcester: 3

33 and cloudy in white plains

Hrrr is very cold and stays mostly snow the whole entire time for the city. 

17 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

A gradient pattern near the end of the month 

Usually New England does very well not us

16 minutes ago, weatherpruf said:

So what can go wrong with this one? 

Too much confluence leading to shredding of the precipitation 

12k looks even better and comes in around 1pm. Wall of heavy snow! Looking good but nam is not that good this far

Nam 18z looks juicy. This is 1pm Wednesday! So I’m assuming we get snow here by 3

1 minute ago, SnowGoose69 said:

Winds start backing though over the next several hours to more E.  Even with a S-SE wind now everyone has underachieved on highs.  The problem with this event is best QPF is north and a warm nose in the mid levels will work in. 

That warm air advection moves in after most of the qpf is done with. I still think nyc proper changes to sleet not rain, and after it gets a solid 1-3 inches. Bronx obviously has a higher chance at 3. 

Partly sunny here in white plains with a temperature of 34

Anyone have the ukmet snowmap?