The unknown

Reports of huge flakes trickling in a county or two to my west here in Jackson 

5.8 inches so far here in Jackson 

Is it just me or is it quite a bit more precip in northern Arkansas right now than what was modeled ?

Snow is accumulating decently here in Jackson Tn. Around 1/2 inch 

We are gonna definitely have a situation here on our hands here in West Tennessee. Temperatures seemed to have cooled a good bit faster than expected.

Thank you and definitely noticed at southeast tick in comparison to yesterday.

Doesn’t anyone have the 12z euro maps for the ice event?

I’m not very familiar with Yukon ridges. Do present they a warm risk or a cold risk this time of year?

It’s snowing at a pretty good clip here in Jackson Tennessee. We’ve already picked up quite a few inches. 

Carver I completely agree I can’t wait for that chilly crisp air to return. It’s been a great fall so far and hopefully we can do enough damage to the polar vortex in the next couple of weeks to sustain a cold pattern especially in early winter. One thing I like seeing is that good build up of snowpack being depicted on models for Canada. If we can keep that going then the cold shots down the line  will definitely have a harsher tone to them.

If all the blocking does indeed happen hopefully we can see it persist enough to keep the polar vortex weak because we don’t need it ultra strong like last year

Wow is all I can say about the midday models. They are showing blocking all across the high latitudes.They are literally showing the opposite of what January 2020 looked like. We haven’t seen blocking signals that strong in a good minute. I’m really hoping we can get this pattern to be a reoccurring theme this winter because if so buckle up.

Midday models are definitely showing signs that things are finna get interesting whether it will result in cold or storminess or both is still in question. One thing that looks encouraging is the blocking that models are showing. Hopefully it’s not a head fake like last year and a sign of things to come. Right now it looks to have promise at least temporary with multiple frontal passages showing up on guidance after the 13th (Oct.). But it’s all in the trend so now I guess we analyze and wait and see.

Hopefully the Euro does pan out cause things could definitely get interesting. However like Carver said we still need a couple more runs to dissect before we can get excited. It would be a pleasant and welcome surprise if blocking was a reoccurring theme this fall and winter.

I appreciate the advice and even we don’t luck out with this system at least the future looks promising 

Did the snowfall increase any for this weekend or did it go down

Has the euro ran its 18z run

Thanks and it does definitely look a lot worse than the previous runs.

Does anyone know what the 12z euro showed for West Tennessee