Woodbridge02
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Everything posted by Woodbridge02
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January 12-13th Cold Smoke Obs and Nowcast
Woodbridge02 replied to Bob Chill's topic in Mid Atlantic
Roads partially caved in Woodbridge/Dale City with steady light/moderate snow -
January 12-13th Cold Smoke Obs and Nowcast
Woodbridge02 replied to Bob Chill's topic in Mid Atlantic
0.7" just measured in Woodbridge east of 95. Light/moderate SN continues. -
January 12-13th Cold Smoke Obs and Nowcast
Woodbridge02 replied to Bob Chill's topic in Mid Atlantic
Nice flake size in Woodbridge. Around 1/4 inch on the ground. Roads and sidewalks not caved yet -
January 12-13th Cold Smoke Obs and Nowcast
Woodbridge02 replied to Bob Chill's topic in Mid Atlantic
"Worst of all the models" would still give me 6-7" or more. But I think the GFS is similar though -
January 12-14, 2019 Storm Discussion STORM MODE
Woodbridge02 replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
Qpf? -
January 12-14, 2019 Storm Discussion STORM MODE
Woodbridge02 replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
The GFS 10-1 snowmap bumps my backyard from 2-3" to 4-5". Northern and especially northeast Maryland still fringed though. -
January 12-14, 2019 Storm Discussion STORM MODE
Woodbridge02 replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
The GFS looks slightly better at 48 Edit: 54 looks like better coastal snow gets into DC. Stronger low and further north -
January 12-14, 2019 Storm Discussion STORM MODE
Woodbridge02 replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
Moderate snow to DC at 66 on GFS - significant improvement from 12z -
January 12-14, 2019 Storm Discussion STORM MODE
Woodbridge02 replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
I'm really optimistic right now. I'd take the Euro/UK/CMC/FV3 over the GFS and NAM any day. Of course I'm always worried it could fall apart at short range but I think it's reasonably likely (~70%) that I at least meet my bar of 3". Edit: since the NAM looks like it's making a significant improvement it's just the GFS and GEFS vs everything else. -
So it's the NAM, ICON, and to an extent the Euro vs. every other model. If the Euro doesn't improve this afternoon I'll be a little worried. However my bar is 3" and I think at this point I'll probably reach it. Even the Euro gives me about that much.
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NAM - Coating - 1"
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This would be acceptable... but it's all from the Coastal which makes me a little worried. We've lost all of the safe bet initial precip.
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1-3" in the metro with 3-7" in Central VA
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Precip vanishes at 84 on the GFS....
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GFS looks stronger and further north at 54
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Light/moderate snowshower in Woodbridge. Windy too.
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144 changes to rain and sleet out to Frederick and W Loudoun, Low Pressure at the mouth of the Chesapeake
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GFS looks stronger and further north at 126
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Best Mid-Atlantic winter storm of the last 40 years
Woodbridge02 replied to PrinceFrederickWx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Breaking the tie in favor of Snowmageddon 1. That storm was absolutely insane - the fourth snowstorm I remember (3/1/09, 12/19/09, 1/30/10 being the other three). Power was out all through our neighborhood for days due to the heavy wet snow. If I remember it went back on briefly and was knocked out again by the second storm. Subdivision roads were blocked for at least 3 days and we had to stay in the basement because the rest of the house was freezing. I remember measuring 26" total at the end of the storm. Also I wasn't alive for the 1996 storm but even if I was I would probably still be voting for 2010. -
December/January Medium/Long Range Discussion
Woodbridge02 replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
How are we getting snow with the low so far south? (Newbie Question) -
December/January Medium/Long Range Discussion
Woodbridge02 replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
The way this winter is progressing reminds me of 2014-2015. We had a cold November with a moderate snow events in the suburbs, followed by a warmup in December, especially late December. I remember 60s around this time in 2014. I would be fine with a repeat, we don't need a historic winter especially since our last two have been so bad. -
59.9 with fog, temperature rose from 48 in the last hour.