Cooper08

9 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said:

Wow yea infrared just blew up in the nw quadrant

New Bern, structures must be weak..

https://mobile.twitter.com/WeatherNation/status/1040445078169255936

3 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

FYI, that was dry air from earlier. Seems to be slowly mixing out.

No location provided but I imagine these houses are taking water....

https://mobile.twitter.com/hurrtrackerapp/status/1040284400313937920

3 minutes ago, hazwoper said:

the 18Z NAM (yes I kn ow its the NAM) is an absolute nightmare taking the eye right on the coast around Wilmington around 39 hrs then paralleling the coast while slowly weakening all the way down to Charleston at 84 hrs.

6pm gfs takes inland NC the deepest of any recent runs. Doesn’t run down coast of SC. 

11 minutes ago, adiabatic13 said:

Tonight's burst of deep convection should rebuild a solid eyewall one last time prior to shelf water disrupting Flo's heat engine; I'm going out on a limb and will forecast Cat 4 for a few dropsondes tomorrow morning...and the unmodeled moderate shear appears to be relaxing as well.

120 mph at 5pm advisory 

3 minutes ago, Cold Rain said:

You know it.  Going to hit up the French one soon.  But seriously, it's interesting to see how things trend, even with the crappy models.

If that’s not LF between 42/48 it is very close, closest I have seen to LF in NC over last day by GFS

4 minutes ago, ncskywarn said:

Stalls just off the NC coast near Sneads Ferry at hour 60 until it starts moving SW at hour 84.

Very bad for Wilmington to Moorehead City. 

2 minutes ago, yoda said:

Still no landfall through 78 for Florence... but it is weakening... 966mb

At 78 takes slight nudge to the right, then says I need to go back and hit that area more with a slight nudge back to the left. Has basically been in same area from 48 to 84! 

5 minutes ago, yoda said:

Florence stalling SE of ILM at 60

48 to 66 is basically a stall with slight movement while it appears at 66 to be very close to LF...

1 minute ago, senc30 said:

Going East now at 96. Certainly a run that moved a good amount west this time. 

Sits off the coast and slightly on land in same area for 24 hrs would be devastating for that area.