EJ123

Hearing thunder in Bergenfield NJ. What's the main limiting factor today? Is this too early for initiation? 

In the middle of that cell for a while.  Lots of lightning and heavy rain but not much wind.

Mount Holly:

Convection-allowing models appear to
suggest this will set up near or even just north of the northern
CWA boundary. Based on radar/satellite trends early this
morning, this seems a little too far north. This bias is
common, and current thinking is that the greater threat of more
significant convection is farther south into the CWA (say
roughly between the I-78 and I-76 corridors). Areas near/north
of I-80 may remain in denser cloud cover much of the day, with
highs near or even below 80 degrees.