Bobbydoppler

What an awesome storm that was yesterday!  That was like a weeks worth of excitement and drama with an epic winter tapestry to finish! Day time storm and great snow quality!

This band hasn’t moved much.

5 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

It's basically because the polar jet was so suppressed it placed everywhere E of ~ 100 W and N of ~ the 35, so far in a polar bath side ...the region bounded become removed from the gradient - as a mitigating factor. It went S with it.  This opened said region to N /stream mechanics to conserve their mechanical presence in the flow, where otherwise their local speed maxima would have been absorbed by said gradient -

It's probably indirectly ( if not directly ) related to why the 130" of snow had less water content than climo

Thank you, Tip.  In saying that, does it mean that there was also no phasing among northern and southern streams?  And yes, I do remember that all of those storms produced high ratio snows.  

How was it that back in Feb ‘15 we avoided suppression?  As I remember, it was cold af even with storm after storm.

Never seen it snow so much and accumulate so little.  I've learned a lot from this one.

What is the absolute lowest ratio?  I've been looking at 2" on the deck for the last 3 hours despite decent snow rates. 

1 minute ago, wxsniss said:

To state the obvious, important to note... that's additional accumulation beginning after 7pm

Many areas of CT already exceeded that map

Ahh yes, duh!  Wasn't paying attention to the CT numbers.

Is it strange that there hadn't been an update since 3:50am?

Ahh, ok.  They're all 4:41PM time stamp.

Looks like BOX is struggling with this a bit...is this a mistake?

 The team vs. individual sport factor in an interesting one.  Individual eliminates a big variable(the team) in that debate.   Is it the persons talents across a broad spectrum, or their respective sport only?  Obviously Bo Jackson comes to mind on a broad spectrum.

Is the Eastern Atl HP too far east for blocking and is that why the LP gets suppressed south of us? 

17 hours ago, mahk_webstah said:

I love Tip's post.  Just read them more closely, it's good discipline.  Also, be thankful that a Met is willing to post so fulsomely for all us weenies.

 

I was sincere when I said that I appreciated his reply.  Didn't mean for it to come off as snarky or sarcastic.  I also read all of his posts that I see in hopes of learning some things and I appreciate the challenge.

17 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

I'm curious because that differs down stream with the wave orientation at larger scales... That's allowing that NJ Model nuke to do that open wave quick strike event like that implies.  

But, being so far out in time - its probably a red herring anyway. I think that error is going to be ginormous in that time frame.  We're probably going to be looking a different cinema at different time intervals on every run... ha

Tip, as usual, I have no idea what that means and I appreciate your reply, and I think part of it was that there will be fluctuations in how these maps look given the time frame.

Haha, on my heels haha...its the GFS 500mb.  I should've included it when I clipped it from the site. 

My bad, it's TT 1/22 18z

11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

No worries, northern hemisphere is usually good.

Here we go...ok, moving on.  Sorry everyone.  

Haha Might as well be the moon around here.  It was the first map I could get that would show both the Pac and Atl.   I feel like a 20+ handicap golfer hanging with tour pros here, just tryna participate and learn.

How do these look for d9?  It's a ways out, I know, but this work day is sloowwww!

17 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

The parent low to the north is from the original energy, but the NAO block, 50/50 low forces the energy to transfer to the south. The GFS does it late in the game for us, so you see the closed H5 low still waaaay north, as the surface tries to get going south of NE.....if you loop the run, then will eventually stack out near the maratimes. 

I see.  Had to look at a different site to get a map that showed N. Atl.

Thank you, Ray.  Trying to learn a bit here and there.  

Can someone tell me how the heights and lp system are in different places?  

GFS dangling the proverbial carrots in the long range.  Is there any chance, or say what's the probability of a switch being flipped here in the next couple of weeks and we go below normal temps for an extended period of time?  

After experiencing the epic winter of ‘14/15, it’s difficult not to compare subsequent winters with that one, as it is now the benchmark to which future winters will be measured, for me anyway(weenie).  Once you have the good stuff, you want it all the time.