laissezpasser

31 minutes ago, bkviking said:

Lake Champlain, Plattsburgh. Got great spot at City Beach where there is concerts and food truck festival and of course, bathroom access. But gambling on just high thin clouds. 

High cirrus already rolling in from the west. If they’re over the beach by 11:30am, that’s my decision point for driving east. (I’m by the HP ramp in a blue coat, by the way. Feel free to come over and chat.)

After an hour-long lull, large dendrites now falling in Hoboken.

Tree damage in Hoboken. Occasional misting rain and intermittent gusts.

https://imgur.com/a/cGXmY2c

Somebody who knows more than me: Please explain why this isn't bad news for viewing from the Appalachian Valley?

On 8/11/2017 at 9:10 PM, nrgjeff said:

... allowing confidence to increase a few more days out compared to tracking a storm.

What are the confidence intervals for cloud cover parameters of GFS, GEM, etc., at 6-, 12-, 18-, and 24 hours out?

The reason I ask is because I'm trying to build decision points (stay/relocate) into my plans.