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Everything posted by klw
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Pack survived here, just got home to a freshly covered driveway.
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I threw my chainsaw in the back of the Prius this morning in case I need to clear anything to get back home. I acknowledge this may be the first time in recorded history that someone has uttered or written the words "I threw my chainsaw in the back of the Prius"
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in case folks missed the BTV area discussion earlier: https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BTV&issuedby=BTV&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1 Sfc analysis places powerful and deepening 985mb low pres near Ely MN, while a 1030mb high pres is acrs the north Atlantic. Upper air analysis shows sharpening full latitude mid/upper lvl trof acrs the central Plains, while deep moisture advection continues on a strengthening south to southwest flow in the 925mb to 500mb layer. As sfc low pres deepens the 925mb to 850mb wind fields strengthens overnight into Friday acrs our region. The NAM and RAP both show progged 850mb winds of 75 to 90 knots, while 925mb winds are in the 55 to 70 knot range, highest over the northern Dacks into the northern CPV. The difficult challenge continues to be how much mixing occurs, as the strongest winds are co-located with the axis of heaviest rainfall. However, given the progged fine line of convective showers by NAM3KM/HRRR, the embedded heavier down pours would have the potential to tap very strong winds in the 925mb to 850mb layer and transfer some higher speeds to the sfc. Given this potential and latest RAP/HRRR soundings showing 500 foot agl winds of 45 to 55 knots, with 59 knots at Malone at 12z Friday, we have expanded the wind advisory. HREF shows 60 to 80% prob of 60 mph or greater winds along the Route 11 corridor and acrs parts of central/northern VT with <30% prob of winds greater than 65 mph, while indicating 90 to 100% of winds >45 mph acrs most of our cwa. Did consider High Wind Warning for northern Dacks, but southeast direction and still some uncertainty on boundary layer mixing, may limit areal coverage of 60 mph wind gusts. Still something to watch closely. Also, have some concerns over southern Greens with southeast downslope gusts near Rutland, but soundings are showing slightly weaker low level wind fields and limited mixing due to the moist adiabatic sounding profile and weak inversion above ridgetop. Generally thinking wind gusts in the 45 to 55 mph range, which wl peak between 4 AM and Noon on Friday.
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1.4 here
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"Two houses up" can be quite different here than in your area. For instance, for me "two" houses up in one direction is half a mile, in the other direction it is 4 miles.
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4.0 new so far here as of around 8:30
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That makes sense, thanks for catching that.
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What is going on with BTV maps? They were only issued 1`5 minutes apart. This happened last storm too. I guess the difference could be due to the start time.
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Does anyone remember the winter of 81-82? The Mansfield stake is tracking it very closely so far. (Not a basis to make predictions but it made me realize I don't remember much about that winter. Though to be fair to me I was living in NJ and in 7th grade.) https://matthewparrilla.com/mansfield-stake/
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It could be your new profile avatar.
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I don't know, I can see Miley driving a low riding, customized Impreza
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I hopped off the plane at BTV With a dream and my Reindeer cardigan Welcome to the land of snow excess (whoa) Am I gonna fit in? Jumped in the Subie, here I am for the first time Look to my right, and I see the Hardwick sign This is all so crazy Everybody seems so mapley My tummy's turning and I'm feeling kinda sick Too much artisan cheese and I'm nervous That's when the taxi man turned on the radio And a Noah Kahan song was on And a Noah Kahan song was on And a Noah Kahan song was on So, I put my hands up They're playing my song, the snow birds fly away I'm nodding my head like, yeah Moving my hips like, yeah I got my hands up, they're playing my song They know I'm gonna be okay Yeah, it's a party in the N.E.K. Yeah, it's a party in the N.E.K. Get to the lodge in my Subaru Everybody's looking at me now Like, "Who's that chick that's rocking stiletto? She gotta be from out of town" So hard with my girls not around me It's definitely not a flatland party 'Cause all I see are boots I guess I never got the memo My tummy's turning and I'm feeling kinda homesick Too much craft beer and I'm nervous That's when the DJ dropped my favorite tune And a Phish song was on And a Phish song was on And a Phish song was on So, I put my hands up They're playing my song, the snow birds fly away I'm nodding my head like, yeah Moving my hips like, yeah I got my hands up, they're playing my song They know I'm gonna be okay Yeah, it's a party in the N.E.K. Yeah, it's a party in the N.E.K.
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Don't forget your selfie stick!
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2 inches after this 6.1 total
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4.1 inches as of 5pm
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First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
klw replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Judging on how much smoke was coming out of my snowblower this afternoon and how little power it had, I will get hammered on Tuesday. -
It whitened the ground here an hour or so back.
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Good enough to triple lock!
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Are we sure that isn't Mr. Snuffleupagus' trunk?
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November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
klw replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
light but steady snow has started here. edit: not so steady but still light -
November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
klw replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
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November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
klw replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
The Vermont DMV uses this as a code for a suspension for Failure to pay Fines. -
November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
klw replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Proof that it is too soon to say that summer's back is broken! -
November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
klw replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
