RobertRath

5 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

Some decent trends in the long range. Epo ridge gaining traction and now both the eps and gefs are trending towards lower heights in the east and 50/50 region.

If the northern stream starts trying to dig down into eastern canada it could potentially offset the terrible pacific. There are hints of colder weather sliding through while the san diego troughs keep digging. 

This is a pretty good mean h5 panel. If it's right our chances for winter wx are avg or even above avg. 

 

If we can see the way out and it holds in time it will make the next 10-15 days much more bearable. 

Do you think the pattern for the next 2 weeks is a lock? Is there anything out there that makes you think things could be modeled wrong? 

Isn’t this about the same exact time last year the PAC crapped it’s pants and screwed everything? deja vu all over again! 

I know most are looking at the next week's storms but I’m curious about the end of the month around Christmas and after. Can you guys see a favorable pattern setting up / hanging on through the Holidays? 

Any chance the 27/28 ish storm doesn’t cut? 

So the pattern through the end of the month is pretty well set at this point? Slightly above temps with rain and cutters? Is there anything that could change that post Christmas leading into the new year? 

44 minutes ago, Ji said:

well the good thing...is the warmest anomolies heading into new year are over us. If were going to warm...might as well milk it

Boy that’s a beautiful map, especially when you’re trying to go skiing in WVa over New Years. (puking emoji here)

4 hours ago, psuhoffman said:

I'm starting to think the bad look was just a brief step as the pattern retrogrades into a typical nino look. 

I’m from the South but have an interest in the MA, more specifically Snowshoe WVa. What does this mean for temps in the area? Would they be near average to slightly above or worse? Talking long range here, entire month. 

4 hours ago, sarcean said:

Wondering how Snowshoe, WV might fare. Some of the (clown) maps are calling for some high totals in the WV mountains - even the RLX NWS is calling for a 1 in 10 chance of   12".

Last I saw the NWS has them under a WSWatch expecting 1-3”