CamSE-Wx

Fort Myers better wake up now...

Seems like 18z GFS initialized too weak as well from what NHC has and what NOAA just found. Have to think that will effect it some.

Is it just me or does it look like it's moving west on the GOES?

Euro a decent bit west from the morning's run

JMA is also west on the 00z. Maybe a trend to watch there, we’ll see if the Euro bites in a bit

GFS tad west so far, slower through 42

Looks like the GEFS is shifting east as well, tad quicker

0z CMC a decent jump east from the 12z run

5 minutes ago, MattPetrulli said:

00z GFS further east and weaker

I wouldn’t necessarily say further east, it’s actually more west but a much more drastic turn into north Tampa than elongated into the big bend area

18z GFS coming in stronger and southwest through 114. Down to 932 from from 953 on the 12z

GFS coming in east & stronger through 108. Pressure down from 986 to 983 from the 12z run.

Looks like this may turn into Ian instead of Hermine at this point with the system set to move off the African coast

18z GFS significantly more west so far from the 12z run