WxDanny

When the NBM is performing better than the GFS....

Not typically an optimist with winter storms (GH 1 & 2 notwithstanding), but really am impressed by the overall agreement. My earlier concerns (IMBY) of a mixed mode have quelled. Model Nature finally done torturing us? 

Crusher in Iowa. Typical splotchy issues with the NAM. 

1 minute ago, RCNYILWX said:

I was briefed in on DVN's thought process today and I don't mind sharing some details:

First off, they had to go into unplanned service backup, so ARX actually had to spin up and do all grids and products, except probably graphics.

I think the word is that they felt they had time for the counties east of those they put in the watch to give next shift one more look. DVN has been aggressive in the past with watch issuance (they were very bullish with early watch for failed event last Feb), so I was personally surprised they didn't issue up to the LOT CWA. Our lead forecaster today would've been fine going with a watch into our CWA.

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All in due time. Inevitable products will be issued. Now the totals in the watches on the other hand.... 

2.8 “event” total so far.


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Around the 4" mark in Peotone. Attention turns to late week....

Nice bump north, probably need to expand the WWA another tier north toward metro.