keno19

1 hour ago, LibertyBell said:

to be fair, I think he's only talking about the people on TV.... and he's right, they're not very good.

 

Yes I didn't mean to insult anyone on here or any of the meteorologists on this forum. Had to clarify.

Every person on this community is a weenie including myself. lol  The workers of the NWS don't come into forums like this.  Bernie Rayno  probably one of the best experienced meteorologists i know.  Todays weather channel meteorologists are all kids.  Seems they almost just give atmospheric science degrees now like water.  They dummy down the physics and calculus.  Its sad everything now is ensembles and looking at models from run to run.   I look at 75% of todays news weather men or women and they have backgrounds as journalism, earth science, environmental science lol.  Those degrees don't go through the  tough math and physics calculus differential equations, multi variable calculus, thermodynamics etc.  probably why forecasts are horrible today.  Don't want to be negative.  I just like the real science behind the forecast.

Nws already dropped the wind advisory.  Highest gust 25 mph.

south massapequa  highest gust 19.9 mph  (30 foot pole) as of 7:11pm

South Massapequa 0.00 in   winds peaked at 36mph

models this year have way over performed wind gusts

I was let down on the forecast of 2-3 inches of rain and 60 mph gusts.  Im here in  south Nassau and my highest wind gust was 29.1 mph and rainfall for the event was 0.91 inches.  My tempest weather station is 25 feet above the ground nothing blocking the wind.  I am trying to figure out if the storm wasn't as powerful in my area or is the tempest weather station not accurate on wind?   i know its not accurate for rainfall do to false vibrations from wind.  anyone have any suggestions or ideas on this?

992mb Low deepening.   isobars will start to get stacked  by 12am  across LI

3 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

hard to say how much they'll mix down-last weekend's event was a bust wind wise but a few weeks ago one overperformed with no advisories for anyone and we had gusts to almost 50

i agree  i majored in atm science  the whole mixing  winds down is hard to predict, inversions  caps  etc.  never bullet proof

South Massapequa

1.60 in

highest gust 21 mph

waiting lol  for wind advisory level forget about high wind warning

i am wondering how much of these winds will mix down.  I don't believe suffolk county high wind warning will hold.

925 mb winds not as impressive over long island

0.97 here south shore Nassau

models did not handle this well

im calm  just tired of the hype on tv 2-3 inches.  even if some yellow echoes come through   just not going to be anywhere forecasted.  0.5 in to 1.5 in  would have been a better forecast on long island.  typical fall weekend rain

0.05 inches  what a joke.  all the current radar images lost the yellow.  lucky to get .50 inches out of this on long island.

On 9/10/2023 at 7:47 PM, Sportybx said:

What would cause the Hurricane hunters not being able to fly through the eye wall last night , saying it was too dangerous?!? 

Because its expensive.  jet fuel, dropsones and paying OT for a storm that has weakened alot.   Also its wasting time now.  The storm is becoming extra tropical.  No need to waste time anymore but the media and NWS will never say that.  This will be a tropical storm in the next 6 to 12 hours.  Basically  becoming a noreaster.   The overhype is starting because of all the attention and money put into this 1 storm as it dies out.

I hate to disappoint many but long island will be getting rain.  With temps 45-50  warm ground in place.  No arctic air in place,  stronger March sun angle.  500mb upper energy too far north.  Dynamic must be perfect and intense .   Too much against.  Also watch as storm starts the bulk of the qpf will be rain  so  watch

too far north

This is what we need to watch where the energy moves.  Not surface

And here comes the dry slot for long Island lol

Long island still no frozen precip.  All models did not time this correctly.  Event almost over

closed upper low  bingo