I’ve been saying this for years…everybody assumes, and all the time I might add, that the modeling has a perfect handle on all the players. If we were 36-48 hrs out, then that’s a little different story. But at 4 days it’s comical. And these people do this every single storm when it’s close. Folks never seem to learn.
Send the hurricane hunters out, and get some good sampling into the models, and if it’s still the same, then we can write it off for good. The HH did that last week, and it changed everything. Need to do it again.
As I said yesterday, OTS is a bigger concern than an occluded storm…at least for CT anyway. Further north maybe a different story. But I’ll take my chances with a powerhouse that’s peaked a little south/southwest of me.