uncjibble

3 minutes ago, Jonathan said:

Why

I'm pissed FOR anyone on this board inside this circle. Hopefully most are seeing snow on either side of Raleigh. This is insane.

My house is literally in the dead center of that circle. Of course...

Ok it’s 9pm and no snow in Garner, I’m out.  I usually try to keep a positive attitude but it’s so frustrating when it’s snowing literally in a 10-20 mile circle all around you. Especially after missing the last 2 events by 15-25 miles as well. 

7 minutes ago, NCSU_Pi said:

Has anyone ever tried to devise an official Snow Disappointment Index? It seems like it could be done.

Maybe take the fantasy snow lost divided by the annual average snowfall.

You'd divide by annual average, because heavy snow regions would otherwise dominate based on high potential variability. In a stormy region, you could end up with 30" of fantasy snow, only to see 5" fall, for a loss of 25". But after a winter of several feet of snowfall, you're not really disappointed. In Raleigh, you could get your entire season's average to show up as fantasy snow 24 hours ahead of the event, only to get a trace.

How you define fantasy snow might be tricky, but we could agree on some metric. Maybe an average of the Euro, GFS, and a short range model like the NAM, at some specific point in time before the event.

We could start a Fantasy snowfall league. At the beginning of winter we have a draft of SE cities, each team has to start a city in each state, most snow wins.

48 minutes ago, superjames1992 said:

You could add January 2013, February 2012, and January 2011 to this list, as well.

It just got more and more depressing so I stopped at 6! I did find this one though, proof that we can get big snow in Raleigh!

3 minutes ago, Tar Heel Snow said:

Correct. I completely understand it has to be annoying to see all the complaining and "Oh woe is me" posts from RDU people, especially those that live in areas that are rarely in the game. Unfortunately (I guess), it's a high population area and there will be more of us that not. 

Also, it's not so much that we don't get anything as it is that we get so little when shown to get so much. RDU is usually in a good range in early stage forecasts to get decent winter weather events, but either the storm track changes, or there's some crazy unforeseen issue that spoils the fun at the last second (i.e. warm nose last Jan/this Dec, dry slotting today and tomorrow). 

Another thing is, yes, it's amazing watching those who do live in those "rarely in the game" areas get their big snows. It's awesome that more people get in on the fun! But you have to understand that it's gonna sting a little when we should live in a decent area and constantly get disappointed. 

First world problems, and things could certainly be worse than they are, but there's not malicious intent or resentment, just frustration at how things always seem to turn out. 

That's what happens with southern snow! We just recently have seemed to get the short end of the stick.

 

Yes, this exactly! And honestly, I also went back and looked at my facebook pictures, and we have gotten enough snow for sledding/ outdoor fun at least once every year. Even if it is 1-2 inches, and never the big one, I am happy we get something on a regular basis. I'm hoping we can somehow still get our annual 1.5 inches out of this one. For once, being in SE Wake county might be an advantage! 

I couldn't find one for this past December event, but that was also a big ole whiff for RDU too!

53 minutes ago, opethlike said:

Been following storms by reading posts here for years now and rarely ever post, but holy crap people not everyone lives in freaking Raleigh or Wake county. Constantly  complaining about every frame of a model prediction regaurding what it’s doing at your house in the main storm thread is annoying as hell... isn’t that what this thread is for??

You just don't know our pain of watching snow in Raleigh! This is the last 6 major events in our area, they all have in common that they go JUST north/west or south/east of RDU. It gets frustrating seeing them so close but never hit. You have to go back to 2010 for a good hit at RDU. However, that being said, looking back, we have gotten SOMETHING almost every year. Its usually 1-1.5 inches, but we are lucky to get something every year. It just gets frustrating after a while to watch everywhere around us get the big totals as we constantly miss/fringe.