phlwx

^ that tornado up above is pretty cool to see.

I'd love to see some old AVN and ETA runs from 3/2 and 3/3 for the 3/5-3/6 timeframe. Would be great to see the differences between reality and modeling.

I can think of counterexamples from personal experience.

I can think of counterexamples from personal experience.

Not saying those aren't good rules of thumb, but you have to remember that like any other situation involving human discretion, the acceptance/hiring/promotion process in this field has its flaws.

Like any profession, connections and networking matter as much...in some cases more...than academic credentials.

You can be "good" but if you can't network or communicate your way out of a wet paper bag you're going to struggle getting in the door.