November Discussion
Figured I'd take the opportunity to start this, while many are preoccupied with the next underachieving wind event.
This will be the transition month, as the Pacific jet relaxes. We should begin to see a cold reservoir couple with the blocking that has been rendered useless throughout October. I would say shot of some snowfall for many is better than climo.
See ya 11/20.
Here's the EPS....you can see how the longwave pattern is pretty decent synoptically for a threat....you obviously need the details to work out, but the larger pieces are there.....
You have your -NAO forcing the PV lobe under it into 50/50 low position while you have the main trough axis still back in the center of the CONUS and a nice PNA ridge to help amplify anything diving into that trough. Still a long shot but it's at least a compelling setup.
