I hate to say it, but that is an unbelievably good catch by Eric. I’ve spent a lot of time focusing on model disco at both the synoptic and mesoscale the last several days, but at a regional parsing, and not at full broad scale look at the impending 5H pattern. Discernible differences like that can make or break a forecast. Those s/w progressions, especially one as small and later developing can have major downstream implications. PSU did a fantastic job outlining the “Death by a 1000 cuts” mant