@WxUSAF @Bob Chill @showmethesnow @C.A.P.E. @usedtobe @Ji @frd or anyone else that wants to interject...
I wanted to contain this discussion here because we all know it can spin out of control and derail the main thread. But this is something I hinted at in a post earlier and its been kicking around my head ever since I saw the upcoming pattern shift into a Hudson Bay centered Ridge with a +AO. I remembered our area actually had quite a few decent snowstorms in that pattern...it was one
@frd, I have read that research to which you refer, and believe it to hold value. There is a documented lagged-oceanic forcing, part of feedback cycle with the atmosphere. The interesting aspect about the NAO, as to why it is such a difficult 'beast' to forecast is its highly multifactorial nature. Unlike the PNA for example, which can be primarily forced by MJO or tropical Pacific disruptions, the NAO is forced by way of many disparate variables. That being said, there are propensities and corr