I'm tired of things being either put in the Digital Snow thread or the Obs/Disco thread so I think its time for this.
I genuinely think Western areas have a shot at a storm this weekend and that others have a chance to see first flakes.
The GEFS has looked better in earlier runs (18z yesterday, woof), but this isn't an awful look. Decent amount of members give something trackable. Looked best yesterday at 18z, so maybe a sign.
Yet a couple of other things have hopped on. 0z
'bounce back latitude' ....
It just means that the rest state of the atmosphere is not very conducive to getting those trough depths into sufficiently lower latitudes. ... The difference between the depth of any long wavy trough over top compared to that of the ambient 582+ domain to the south, creates too much wind. The 582 may look like it is in central Florida, but that's illusory if one doesn't know that if the flow stops pressing the trough down from the top, the rest state is actua