So, as the average daily temperature for our region begins to fall after today (7/23) let's talk winter in July!
What are the big indices looking like? What ENSO state are we entering into? Solar looking good which would make the QBO good for us? Any early animal coloration or behavior to look for?
Surely this winter can't be worse than the last two...could it?
My opinion the MJO is stalled again is we had an extra coronal hole/flareup Dec.19-22nd that was completely missed by the space forecasts.It was small but it still produced over 600 km/s a few days.Then you add in the 7-10 day lag with every big flareup and that's why it's still stuck,sun is still too unpredictable to pick up every large flare though.
These larger flareups tend to stall/weaken or push the tropical forcing back in to the Maritime continent(phase 4,5.6)just from my observatio