I remain bullish on a wintry January.  Here's the latest VP MJO chart showing what should be a return to El Nino-like phases 7-8-1-2 for January.  And there's no doubt that the stratospheric PV will be weakening to close out December.  The 2nd chart shows an official SSW on each of the last 4 runs of the GEFS Mean (zonal winds below 0) - other models have the SSW or show a strong weakening.  If we go for the jugular with the forecast, we could envision the Pacific pattern (-EPO/+PNA) becoming fa