WPC Winter Wx Discussion
THEN ON MON... THE FORECAST BECOMES QUITE COMPLEX AND VERY CHALLENGING OVER THE ERN PORTION OF THE COUNTRY. THE SHORT WAVE DIVING THROUGH THE MIDWEST ON SUN PROCEEDS TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST ON MON AND BEGINS TO INDUCE A SURFACE LOW NEAR THE COASTAL CAROLINAS BEFORE SHOWING SIGNS OF INTENSIFYING AND LIFTING NORTHWARD. THIS IS DUE TO A SLIGHT NEG TILT ALOFT OF THIS FEATURE AND THE NEXT POLAR/ARCTIC UPPER TROUGH PLUNGING INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY/GREAT LAKES. DO THE TWO SY
My biggest concern is precip rates not matching the models. We're relying on getting most of our snow in 6 hours even over the interior. I have to admit that I've never seen a system where the models (even conservative QPF models like the Euro) are spitting this much out in such a short period, so I am putting some weight into it. But I still would lean conservative.