Models typically underestimate mid level warmth. This is extremely unfortunate for this area as even my original 8 to 14 across CNJ looks like it is in major jeopardy. Still will hold to the 12 to 18 across NNJ/Seny and definitely NEPA. Also those areas should have jackpots locally of more. Now I believe that the 78 corridor will be the cutoff for significant sleet impacts on totals. Dynamic cooling is one thing but when you're messing with mid levels like we are dealing with it rarely turn