3 things. 1)Often these last second dry trends on guidance are BS. It’s happened many many many times. I can think of two that really stuck out. Last run before Jan 2004 storm after days of 4-8” guidance suddenly came in dry with like 2-4”. We got 4-8. Night before Feb 11 2010 guidance slashed qpf way down. We got what they had been showing. I don’t know why it happens. But many times I’ve observed this dry up right at game time and it was wrong.  2)Radar looks great and the forcing ov