Potential extensive winter event, I-95 west and with again a chance for NYC first inch(es) of snow Mon or more likely Tue Jan 16, 2024 (serves as OBS thread as well)
Attached are two 24 hour EPS graphics from the 12z/10 cycle that are significant for D6-7. The CMCE and GEFS are much less of snow risk for the northeast USA, so far. This thread is started because of the several consecutive cycles, although variable placement, EPS persistent snow threat for the I84 or I95 corridor, and it's possible snowfall outcome for NYC.
Also is attached the 19z/10n Blend of Models from the NWS as a sketchy idea for I95.
Reminders: The CMCE and GEFS are weak wi
For me, this summarizes the surface trends well, showing the entire precip field moving NW about 150 miles vs. 0Z, bringing the 0.1-0.2" of precip to 95/coast and moving the 1" QPF line NW by ~150 miles, also. Still a ways to go, but the movement weneeded to see. 12Z also looks a little juicier, overall, too. And not that far off from the 12Z GFS precip field. Just need it to move another 150 miles NW...
