Any pattern breakdown continues to look brief if at all.  By the time it hits we might already be tracking a threat on the other side.   Day 15 5 days later Next 30 days  That's how I drew it up in my mind.  I couldn't have created a better pattern if you handed me the magic crayons.  If this pattern doesn't work, during prime climo, during a nino... well it just better.  We aren't going to get a better chance than this to break out of our snow funk.