Okay here goes, back in the game. Dusting off my research skills and we'll see how it goes.  Outlook is based on 2 things: - Backward looking indicators using historical analogs for La Nina, +QBO, -PDO, -IOD, and high solar activity - Forward looking indicators such as atlantic SSTs and wildcards like high stratosphere vapor content (Hunga Tonga) My best analogs are: - 2000-01 (no surprise) - 2011-12 - 1985-86 I've also looked at 2017-18 and 2008-09, but didn't put a