It seems about time to start a new discussion thread for winter. Around here, the temperatures here have been pleasantly above 60 since 10/17. We had our heavy snow and frost on 10/14, which killed a lot of the tree colors, particularly the cottonwood tree colors. The GFS/Euro have showing some snow for the Front Range on Halloween, one week from today.
There is still a small chance I'll modify this if the models are completely wrong on the MJO progression over the next few days, but this is what I like for March nationally for my Spring Outlook. My hand drawn map is adjusted much warmer in the East because low solar, high NAO Octobers, high SOI Decembers, and the prior year ENSO (a 25.7C La Nina in 2017-18) all favor warmth in the East and are relatively independent of one another. A blend of March 1958, 1983, 2010 is pretty close to what I ex